Looks like a reversion to the mean, rather than a significant change. That 13% lead was very high relative to other polls. (View Post)

Gathering. Unless you are arguing they randomly bumped into the rest of the protestors. (View Post)

Being threatened with an export ban makes it more likely? (View Post)

Protesting isn't the illegal activity. Gathering is. (View Post)

From what I've read legal observers have no special status whatsoever. To the law they are just members of the public, in this case engaging in a proscribed activity. (View Post)