I think the Tories and immigration are in a bit of a "Lib Dem tuition fees promise" situation... They spent the best part of their 12 years in power promising to reduce migration, campaigni… (View Post)
On Reform, I'm not sure it's in their interests to make the jump to a majority government in one go. As opposed to becoming the Official Opposition to a Labour-Lib Dem grouping first. 1) They have ab… (View Post)
MAGA is a distinctly unChristian group though. Putting aside specific social debates around sexuality, abortion etc, Trump and co fundamentally don't believe in being kind to others. They favour obsc… (View Post)
For context, the Lib Dems have: - 189 seats with 10% or more - 119 seats with 15% or more - 99 seats with 20% or more - 72 wins This is not a position where they can make large additional gains unles… (View Post)
I'd be more interested in a bet on the Lib Dems getting more seats than the Tories. The gap is 50. How many of those will the Tories lose to Reform? It would probably only take the Lib Dems winning a… (View Post)