Exactly. The Tories need a trend to occur. There has been no trend. It's probably reasonable to expect more volatility in voting intentions during an election campaign, which is why 'no trend' over t… (View Post)
1 week down of the campaign and no signs of swingback yet (looking at the polls in aggregate). And it's been a week where the Tories have dominated the news with policy announcements. 5 weeks left to… (View Post)
I'm liking the new graphic on polling from Wikipedia: I do wonder if a combined Reform/Green squeeze will be the main change from the polling average to actual results. Not that it would change the h… (View Post)
There are fewer and fewer children each year right now. Down 17% in England and Wales from 2012 to 2022. And that trend is set to continue. Given the small percentage of the population in private sch… (View Post)
I blame Sunak for the lack of polls: who calls an election before a bank holiday weekend in the middle of school half term? Has he no respect for the need for a constant stream of reliable polls for … (View Post)