It's interesting how the key demographic divide varies by country and election. In the UK we have had ages as the main division over recent years, for example. We've often see the right out… (View Post)

In totally-legitimate-political-betting news, there remains £2.5m looking to back Trump at 1.7 on Betfair. Just next to every other betting level where there is up to £0.05m ready to be staked. I thi… (View Post)

The correction is back towards fair pricing from Trump being 2:1 favourite, so I find it hard to characterise it as extreme even if there was no reason for it. The Iowa poll has just highlighted that… (View Post)

On topic, Labour needs to govern assuming it has one term. That means being slightly more radical with any reforms they wish to complete in the next 18 months. What they definitely shouldn't do … (View Post)

I don't think we want the level of divisiveness we see in the US, just because it boosts turnout a few percentage points. (View Post)