The Tories have not had a single under 10% polling deficit since Truss and Kwarteng blew things up. That's quite an impressively long stretch when you consider the number of polling companies, outlie… (View Post)

Talking of 'free money' bets, isn't Biden as the Democrat nominee at 1.25 a good bet? He can comfortably win primaries where he's not on the ballot, and the actuarial risk of less than 10 months at h… (View Post)

The way I see this year is the Tories had up to 10 months to turn around the polls meaningfully (e.g. to sub 10% leads) to have a chance of a respectable performance. The first month of the year it l… (View Post)

It seems incredible to me that the Republican primary - starting with loads of candidates and a huge amount of money spent - has been narrowed down to just two candidates after little more than 100,0… (View Post)

My six from your list were Arlo Parks, Paramore, Mitski, Jessie Ware, Boygenius and Lana Del Rey. I have Olivia Rodrigo on my to listen to list but I haven't got round to it properly yet. (View Post)