It's too early to say it's a polling miss. It's an Electoral Calculus Baxter seat prediction miss. The MRPs seem reasonably good to me given the size of the change involved. (View Post)

Remember that the exit poll has historically accurate in aggregate, and not in specifics for each seat. It can't pick up constituency level idiosyncrasies. That probably means there are betting oppor… (View Post)

The exit poll is pretty similar to the 2001 result - Labour 410 vs 419 - Tories 131 vs 166 - Lib Dems 53 vs 52 (View Post)

Very good! (View Post)

Voting done. And it will likely be the first time I vote for the winning MP. (View Post)