Betting post: is laying Starmer being replaced as party leader in 2026 value at 1.37? I have zero doubt he'll be replaced before the 2029 election. But I'm not convinced it's in anyone… (View Post)

Forming a government after the next election could be an absolute clusterfuck. Could plausible have: - Reform: 200 seats after some swingback and tactical voting - Labour: 125 seats - Greens, Lib Dem… (View Post)

I can report back that my constituency now has two Waitrose's and two Gail's. At the last election it already had two Waitrose's, but only one Gail's. So I think it's safe to… (View Post)

Part of Reform's challenge is there's lots of groups of voters that have a strong rationale for voting against them. Muslims are one example. Liberals (in the traditional sense) another. I&… (View Post)

Yes there is a greater segmentation of the political landscape. The Greens, to be fair to them, have now identified a potentially fruitful area to focus. That is traditionally strong Labour seats in … (View Post)