No sign of convergence between pollsters. Exit poll will be fascinating. The uncertainty now is just as to whether the Tories get a very bad result, or a calamitous result where they fall behind anot… (View Post)
While I fully agree with the bolded part, I'm not sure it's possible in the long-run because there is a significant part of the electorate that is socially illiberal. Unless Labour moves in that dire… (View Post)
A debate with those four - with the leaders of each - would be far more interesting. Two-way debates are too linear back and forth. More people offers the chance for a more dynamic debate, but seven … (View Post)
It's a strange election. Without MRPs it's hard to say how votes will turn into seats with such huge swings - any 'uniform' assumption will be very wrong. The exit poll will be fascinating: 1) The To… (View Post)
No chance of Tories holding there. 3,000 majority. It will become part of the Lib Dem stronghold in the south west of London (and into quasi-London Surrey seats like Esher). The fact Cameron is wasti… (View Post)