A bit of a misunderstanding of PMIs here. Under 50 indicates contraction relative to the previous month, so increasing from say 20 to 47 just means the rate of contraction has slowed, rather than an … (View Post)

The government's current approach lacks a clear message. It favours prescriptive rules ('6 people') that sound arbitrary over principles people can understand and apply. Surely we need… (View Post)

On reflection last night's press conference was a terrible mistake for Johnson personally. Before that point, the story was about a government advisor. As is typical with similar stories, the go… (View Post)

I agree. It's "I've not been able to do X, Y, Z for 2 months, and he thinks he's above the rules?" that will be deadly for Cummings. The outrage will cut across the political… (View Post)

On the wider impact on Covid 19 on the death rate (including those in the community and of poorer treatment of unrelated diseases), the ONS's dataset here is very helpful to complete some simple… (View Post)