Looking at the detail of the ONS data (published here ), the estimate is that c.3.5% of people in London have Covid as at the end of December. That's remarkably high, but not high enough to get … (View Post)

Great news on the Oxford vaccine: 1) It's effective enough to bring life back to normal, even at 70% effectiveness (i.e. taking the study as a whole). 2) There's good reason to think the 90… (View Post)

Those saying Trump was doing well on the economy pre-Covid are surely not Conservatives who lambasted Labour for running big deficits during periods of growth are they? Almost 5% deficit in 2019 via … (View Post)

The government's fatal flaw - seen across much of Europe - has been propagating for too long the message that things could return to normal with minimal change to behaviour. "Eat out in res… (View Post)

Thoughts on the latest ONS infection survey: +ve: there's some evidence the incidence rate growth is starting to slow, particularly amongst young people and certain worse-hit regions like the No… (View Post)