I can believe the MRP is plausible. First past the post can be brutal when you fall below a certain threshold and your vote is geographically dispersed. Remember the Lib Dems won 57 seats with 23% of… (View Post)
My main disagreement is around Ukraine: I don't think Trump has the power to make them cede half the country, so long as the UK and EU continue to step up military support. (View Post)
Yet when the small swing towards Labour since the election was called gets unwound, there will be much more excitement and extrapolation of trends... (View Post)