I've been very concerned by the virus growth since mid January, but I fear that wider panic is setting in too early and too suddenly. Governments across Europe seem to be closing down their economies… (View Post)

Looking at this outbreak from a maths background, two concepts spring to mind: 1) exponential growth, which had been well discussed; and 2) catastrophe theory, which has been less so. Catastrophe the… (View Post)

Do the Lib Dems need to rush to appoint a new leader? Let Ed Davey and Baroness Sal Brinton run as interim leaders until after the next local elections and then have a proper leadership contest in ad… (View Post)

I would suggest people remember the MRP is a model based on polling data, not constituency level polling, not an exit poll and certainly not the result. Its effectiveness is giving a better estimate … (View Post)

A key issue Labour has is that the Brexit party is standing in their Northern/Midland seats. That gives disillusioned supporters a way to not vote for them without going the whole way to supporting t… (View Post)