The latest ONS infection survey estimated 6k positive tests a day the week to 10 September The previous ONS infection survey estimated 3.2k positive tests a day the week to 3 September That is the mo… (View Post)

Looking at the polling averages (both RCP and 538), Trump has recovered from his lows of June/July, but hasn't risen above where he was earlier in the year. Likewise, Biden's vote had remained very s… (View Post)

A point to consider when comparing current cases between countries is the amount of testing varies massively. While the UK was slow off the mark on this, total testing is now up at 223 per 1,000 popu… (View Post)

A bit of a misunderstanding of PMIs here. Under 50 indicates contraction relative to the previous month, so increasing from say 20 to 47 just means the rate of contraction has slowed, rather than an … (View Post)

The government's current approach lacks a clear message. It favours prescriptive rules ('6 people') that sound arbitrary over principles people can understand and apply. Surely we need the following:… (View Post)