First one I followed was a while back, but first one I bet on was 2010. I watched the results in an overnight lock-in at the Student Union. At at least 3-4am we get to one of the big results of the n… (View Post)
I definitely think one key reason to lay Badenoch is precisely that the Tory position post-election could be along quite a range. But in the event of a huge defeat I doubt Hunt is still an MP. (View Post)
Indeed. I actually think Biden is rather unfairly judged by a lot of people, but that's not something I can change when I bet. As well as people being too down on his first term record in my view, I … (View Post)
4.7. Nice... I may be hoisted rather high by my petard here (given the stakes I've done in for), but I think my odds are still serious value. So 4.7, very nice... Still, I don't have to outrun everyo… (View Post)
Exit polls in New Hampshire show a higher Independent/Dem vote than in the GOP 2016 primary, and 2:1 voters describing themselves as not MAGA. Suspect Trump wins anyway, but if he doesn't then these … (View Post)