Yes, Macron has really eaten the traditional French left and Melanchon's brand of hard-leftness has faded a lot compared to 2017 such that he isn't really close to the runoff so far. (View Post)

Agree with all of this. Would also add that the role he was hired for had nothing to do with politics. If the allegations of casual racism are true then I'm happy to say that should disqualify him. B… (View Post)

People are over-interpreting the reasons behind this. Smarkets simply offer many interesting markets which no-one else does. If people on this site want more liquidity they are welcome to fix that is… (View Post)

Indeed, and May survived for quite some time *after* the 2017 election debacle and subsequent Brexit deadlock. (View Post)

Looks like Kast is going to win the first round in Chile. Runoff unclear though. Pre-election polls showed him winning the first round by about this much and having a narrow advantage in the December… (View Post)