I'd be pretty surprised if Japan do as well as 538 are predicting. My guess is they are applying a standard home advantage, but we know from the Premier League (and others) that home advantage behind… (View Post)

Dammit, it does appear they've pulled it. I thought asking Mike to publish this the morning of Day 1 was smart but it is already out of date. (View Post)

I assume that is a typo: You mean 33% chance of Labour winning? I say this both because I think we agree that Labour are underdogs and it makes the odds fit. My issue is with the 40% chance of a Burn… (View Post)

To be clear, this is for Burnham next PM, not next Labour leader (which is your steps one-three)? (View Post)

I think either this or men to play 3 sets (as they do in all non-grand slams, I believe) is a no brainer. The women's tour has had the fitness to match the men for at least a decade or two. (View Post)