Cameron had no by-election losses after 2015, and prior to 2015 he lost two massive swings to UKIP before winning an unexpected majority. May got hammered in Richmond Park only to make a historic mid… (View Post)
You can't do a one-off exit poll, the method works by running it in (mostly) the same places each election and comparing the shift in vote to extrapolate the outcome. So for by-elections you didn't h… (View Post)
Agree with all this. For me it's the sheer range of good markets which is the main reason. Many are still illiquid (though they aren't as dry as they look, bets placed on the app don't show up in the… (View Post)