I'd make Murkowski almost 90% myself. She's a force of nature in that state, and extremely well placed to pick up 2nd prefs in the 4-person runoff. PredicIt, open to Brits!!! (View Post)
I like the line: "One guaranteed bet I’m going to (continue to) make is laying a 2023." I too am confident that the apocalypse is imminent. (View Post)
Strongly suspect the chance of Johnson leaving in 2022 will be barely affected by the locals but significantly affected by the upcoming by-elections. But time will tell. (View Post)