Labour strategist at heart of the campaign says get out and vote, it’s not a done deal. Surprising. 🙄 (View Post)

A quick note from me on the Mori. LLG is down from Novembers 64 to a mere 63 in both the more recent polls. In other words no change. Which brings us to what is wrong about Mike’s header, even if the… (View Post)

Kellner and various swingback pollsters have got themselves into an utter mess. They conduct a poll that shows Labour 20% ahead, and then on basis of there is always swing-back for full term Tory gov… (View Post)

If you are doing political betting on seat totals, tactical voting from a bloated 60%+ LLG ensures Starmer a large majority regardless what narrowing of the margin from here and universal seat calcul… (View Post)

I’m not sure reality is good term for it, for it suggests… reality. And this brings me to areas of obvious vice in Kelners Purity/Reality Theory. The presumption there will be this level of swingback… (View Post)