No he is not guessing. Tens of thousands of mail in ballots have been counted and they are 2:1 Cortez. There are approx 100,000 still to count. Reasonable to extrapolate based on a sample of well ove… (View Post)

Yes of course - just posted for info. (View Post)

Someone posted Ralston's tweets very early this morning. Here it is again: "Here's what we know on the Nevada Senate race, if we assume the rurals are all but spent, will only add a couple thous… (View Post)

Worth noting that Laxalt has won many rural Counties (so far) by huge amounts (several with leads in the 40% to 60% range). (View Post)

538 disagrees with you. Overall change: Dem leaning +6 Rep leaning = Competitive -6 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-2022-maps/ (View Post)