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Re: History suggests lawyer Starmer was always going to win this election – politicalbetting.com
Betfair suggesting very efficient LD vote. Vote share band 10% to 11.99% is favourite. But also well odds on (1.61) to get over 60 seats. Obviously both are entirely possible but would seem extraordi…2 -
Re: People tell pollsters duff info – politicalbetting.com
Yep. The funny thing will be if any of these people get seriously stung with a tax that had never even entered their heads. If Labour wants to do any of their pet projects (on top of just day to day …4 -
Re: This would be the result of the night – politicalbetting.com
Has anyone mentioned The Times focus group broadcast yesterday - I only heard replay overnight. Consisted of undecided voters in safe Con seats (from 50th to 150th safest). Throughout the focus group…2 -
Re: Final Survation MRP predicts a truly terrible night for the SNP – politicalbetting.com
Today's Survation MRP was done from 15 June to 1 July. So if there is a late swingback to Con, it will miss most of it. Also note the previous Survation MRP was done from 15 to 27 June. Today's Surva…1 -
Re: Are we set for the greatest polling failure in history? Sunak thinks so – politicalbetting.com
Did anyone see Curtice on Newsnight last night? BBC use him as a numbers man. But seems to me he is just as good as a political commentator - ie analysing why the numbers move as they do. Made a very…5
