Might the reason be they now know there is no scope for tax cuts in an Autumn Statement. April borrowing figures just announced were above forecast. (View Post)

Next GE date - nearing crossover - Dec shortening, Oct lengthening - Dec very close to becoming 2nd favourite. Oct 5.2 Nov 1.91 Dec 5.4 (View Post)

Per detailed results on Wiki - the top 3 in the public vote was very close. Switzerland (overall winner) was 5th. Public vote: Croatia - 337 Israel - 323 Ukraine - 307 France - 227 Switzerland - 226 … (View Post)

99% of people won't have the first clue what Starmer's plan is. And it doesn't matter what it is - the average person doesn't follow that sort of detail. In contrast, if a plane actually takes off to… (View Post)

Can anyone explain why the NPR/Marist 52-47 poll is not listed on 538? They do list an NPR/Marist which was 50-48 to Biden (two candidates only) but that was 22 to 25 April. Presumably the 52-47 is a… (View Post)