I think there is a real chance that if Truss wins she won't make it to the next GE. Forget all policies and details - she simply does not come across as a credible PM. She'll tank in the opinion poll… (View Post)

Nick Watt said on Newsnight that some people had expected Sunak to get between 100 and 109 and that these people believed he had lost votes during the day yesterday. Now we don't know if the above is… (View Post)

Be careful about just adding blocks of votes. Over the years it's been posted on here many times (including by Nick P) that every MP will have quite a few personal friends from right across the polit… (View Post)

A problem for Truss is the risk of falling behind Badenoch. If most of Braverman switches to Badenoch then Badenoch could well get ahead of Truss, resulting in a Final 3 of Sunak, Mordaunt and Badeno… (View Post)

It looks like Sunak, Mordaunt or Truss. I'm quite sure that Mordaunt has the best chance of winning the next GE. Sunak would do a solid job and probably get a Hung Parliament. Truss will be a disaste… (View Post)