Gaussian

R will still be critical. Do not forget that the vaccines only provide partial protection: around 70% according to the AZ trial, and similar is guesstimated for a single Pfizer shot. So if you let it… (View Post)

I of course fully agree with maximising vaccination efforts (assuming doses are available), but setting fixed dates for opening up is exactly what got us into the second wave in the first place. The … (View Post)

Still that false dilemma. If the health service is fucked, the economy is fucked. All that the lockdown delays have ever done is slightly delay the economic damage while making both the health and ec… (View Post)

Even with less Draconian measures, near-zero Covid could still have been done by sticking with restrictions for longer, just as long as they were enough to keep R below 1. But no, we (and Europe) had… (View Post)

It doesn't matter how much we throw at vaccinations, they will not make a material difference for several weeks. Right now, sadly, it's still all about lockdown. It means it's crucial though that vac… (View Post)