I'm not sure the Russia stuff has had that much effect on the SPD at the federal level TBH, it's had more positive effect on the Greens with Baerbock and Habeck now Germany's most popular politicians… (View Post)

. @BelTel @LucidTalk poll #AE22 🟩SF-26% 🟧DUP-20% 🟦UUP-14% 🟨APNI-14% 🟥SDLP-10% 🟪TUV-9% Good poll for the UUP this (and also TUV). UUP should make a net gain of at least two seats and can see Diane Dod… (View Post)

I think vote share is most important in those places TBH. But Starmer will be probably be able to spin a reasonable result in the South if Labour gains majorities in Worthing, Crawley and Southampton… (View Post)

Interesting London polling. Exclusive: Labour set to maintain advantage over Tories in London as PM's personal ratings in capital drop Labour looks set to maintain their huge advantage over the Conse… (View Post)

Mordaunt or Wallace are probably the best choices if there is a vacancy although I personally think it's 50/50 thar Johnson either stands down in 2023 or fights 2024 and there is close to zero chance… (View Post)