https://twitter.com/electpoliticsuk BREAKING: Craig Whittaker, Conservative MP for Calder Valley, has said Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak should resign. Interesting how few Tory MPs in marginal seats … (View Post)

Davey was calling for a VONC earlier on BBC news. I broadly agree, nothing to lose. (View Post)

I would be surprised if there is another referendum this side of 2030. Certainly the earliest it can realistically happen now is 2028, two years after the next Holyrood election. Also it's generally … (View Post)

France, Ifop-Fiducial poll for LCI & TF1: Presidential run-off election Macron (EC-RE): 51% (-16) Le Pen (RN-ID): 49% (+16) +/- vs. 2017 election Fieldwork: 10 April 2022 (after 20:00) Sample siz… (View Post)

I've been expecting Macron to get 58-60% in the runoff but massive abstentionism among Melenchon supporters(and some switching to Le Pen) could still push it down to 55-45 or closer? (View Post)