Should be interesting to see what happens. My gut feeling is that Davey will win by 55% to 45% but there's no way of knowing for sure. (View Post)

It's possible Labour could have gone down to 160-170 seats as AndyJS has said before. Saying the Tories would win Vauxhall was 100% insane though which casts major doubt on a lot of this stuff. https… (View Post)

From a Labour point of view I suppose one tends to focus on the seats that were most narrowly lost like Kensington, Bury N+S, High Peak, Bolton NE, Gedling etc and ignore the ones that were narrowly … (View Post)

Truro and Falmouth will probably go Labour in 2024 even if the Tories have a smallish overall majority because it was the only seat in Cornwall to vote remain and has a decent LD vote to squeeze with… (View Post)

I think Trump still wins around 44.5% nationally but I'm sticking with my gut that Biden wins Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, Arizona and North Carolina with Trump eeking out Ohio, Texas,… (View Post)