Gary_Burton
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Re: Reshuffle betting – politicalbetting.com
Yes I think that's right and I would say Sturgeon derives most of her electoral popularity from socially liberal soft yes and soft no voters so I can't really see any threat to the SNP even if a 2nd … (View Post)2 -
Re: Gavin Williamson has done another whoopsie – politicalbetting.com
It gets worse for the CSU in Bavaria - 28% in this poll. Also slightly better for the SPD who are 2nd on 18%: https://twitter.com/Wahlrecht_de/status/1435627306895171586 (View Post)1 -
Re: Why I’m quitting the Conservative Party – politicalbetting.com
The CDU could still lose to the Greens in BaWü but we'll see. The probability now is that there will be a SPD-Green-FDP coalition depending on how the FDP behave but the SPD is likely to use the thre… (View Post)1 -
Re: 2 Samuel 22:50 applies to the British Polling Council – politicalbetting.com
Yes it's quite possible that the CDU doesn't top the poll anywhere. The CSU will probably still win Bavaria with a very low vote share of just over 30%. I can see the Greens topping the poll in Baden… (View Post)1 -
Re: I hope you all had as much fun as Michael Gove had this weekend – politicalbetting.com
I would be amazed if they got below 20% but its no longer unthinkable they could come 3rd Yes, Scholz wouldn't be winning if the CDU/CSU had chosen Söder and the Greens had chosen Habeck. (View Post)1