............................ Yes, they probably can't do worse than that. The losses will be heavily concentrated in northern metropolitan boroughs like Trafford but they won't lose too many seats. I… (View Post)

Autumn 2020 with Ipsos Mori IIRC (View Post)

Depends what happens to the Tory vote TBH, I can't see Labour getting more than 38% in a real GE but they could still both lose a lot of seats to Labour in the North and the Lib dems in the South. (View Post)

Will be interesting to see if the Tories do better than Tracey Brabin did in 2016, seems quite likely they could get 90%+ and turnout could go easily below 20%. I now definitely think it was an error… (View Post)

Yes, it's interesting how small the gap is between Johnson and Sunak compared to Starmer in best PM polling, Starmer is 1% ahead of Johnson but Sunak is only 3% ahead of Starmer in today's poll. (View Post)