I can't see it either for the same reasons it hasn't happened in Canada and the Canadian Liberals were in a far worse position pre 2015 (although I do support PR in principle) I can't see a Labour ma… (View Post)

I can see the Greens getting 5% in a real GE although I think most of that will be concentrated in a small no. of urban seats like Bristol West which is the Greens only viable target. I will be surpr… (View Post)

I still think Corbyn is likely to retire unless the Labour Party tries to foolishly overreach and stitch up Islington North a la Blaenau Gwent in 2005 in which case he could stand as an independent a… (View Post)

I think the value bet is Johnson surviving until 2023 (or certainly December of this year bearing in mind May's VONC was in December) . It's not difficult to envisage an OK/non catastrophic local ele… (View Post)

I think 300 seats is the absolute best Labour can do at the next election but I think a 5% lead over the Tories, something like Con 34% Lab 39% could produce that even on the new boundaries. (View Post)