I'm not ruling out the possibility of FF+FG scraping a majority and somehow locking SF put of power but they would surely need to at least be at 40% combined to achieve that. SF as largest party is p… (View Post)

Greens appear to be out in Saarland now as well as the FDP and die Linke. SPD 29 (+12) CDU 19 (-5) AfD 3 (-) Linke 0 (-7) FDP 0 (-) Greens 0 (-) (View Post)

It's all margin of error stuff though TBH compared to 2017 and Scholz still comfortably leads Merz in personal ratings. The CDU/CSU also hasn't polled above 27% in any poll. I agree that State electi… (View Post)

Crushing victory for the SPD in Saarland with about 43% and 27.5% for the CDU. Linke vote below 3%. AfD and Greens appear to have scraped in with 5.5% but unclear for the FDP who are teetering on 5%. (View Post)

I expect Nationalists to end up with possibly exactly the same the same no. of seats as Unionists (also counting 1/2 People before Profit MLAs as Nationalist) with Alliance the biggest winners potent… (View Post)