I would have preferred it if the SNP bluff had been called in 2017 but we are where we are now and I think another referendum is very unlikely to happen this side of 2030. Absolute earliest it could … (View Post)

https://nipols.blogspot.com/2022/03/what-does-most-recent-lucidtalk-poll.html Interesting seats forecast for Northern Ireland, particularly the TUV gains and for the SDLP who will possibly get squeez… (View Post)

Not confirmed although I don't think Alyn Smith/Stewart McDonald/whoever would change things much although Kirsten Oswald is a relatively weak media performer. (View Post)

They dropped to 51% at one point with ethnic minority voters but they're back up to 59% now. I think this explains their strengthening position in London in the polls. (View Post)

I think the most Le Pen can get is about 43% in the runoff. I have generally predicted that Macron will probably get 58-60% in the runoff. Good polls for Le Pen though given that I don't think she po… (View Post)