I think Rishi can probably count on about half of the party. Say, 180. I think Boris will scrape through (105) and Penny will fall short (72). The indicative vote will then result in something like 2… (View Post)

I include that in my estimate. Say 6 “independents”, 4 defections to LD, 2 defections to Labour. (View Post)

I agree that the defection thing is overblown. I think a dozen is about right. (View Post)

The problem there is the incentive that would given the EU to agree the worst possible deal. (View Post)

I agree that a referendum was right. His mistake however was simply treating it as another “game” in the grid. Pure hubris. He failed in his negotiation in Europe; his failed to sell that negotiation… (View Post)