I agree with the general idea that 5% is the new norm. However there is risk on both sides. There’s a small but significant (~20%?) probability that they need to climb from here, but there’s also a d… (View Post)

These things are relative. (View Post)

Increasingly looks likely that the populist Winston Peters / NZ First will hold the balance of power in NZ’s election on Saturday. The right bloc (National, Act) look to have faltered this week, whil… (View Post)

Simon Clarke the Tory MP is calling the Keir clip a deepfake. It’s very convincing if so. (View Post)

“Israel” is not genocidal. Some Israeli extremists are, and they have an increasingly prominent role in Israeli politics. In any case, Hitler was not put off signing the Haavara Agreement with Zionis… (View Post)