Cameron organised a kind of democratic abortion. The more time that passes, the more reprehensible his lazy contempt for constitutional safeguarding. Nobody knew precisely what they were voting for, … (View Post)

Interest range of BOE base rates. Worth noting that the market is expecting 3.25% but a poll of economists by the FT looks to have a mean view of 4%, which looks to be the rough PB average too. (View Post)

I agree that migration is turning into a significant issue. If Biden loses, it will be because of this. I’d observe too that the Democrats barely recognise it as an issue, which is dangerous territor… (View Post)

On the other hand, Sunak is quite young, but also transparently useless. (View Post)

Good morning and Happy New Year from very sunny Manhattan (it’s 6 degrees but could almost be t-shirt weather in the sun). I can’t be arsed doing the full competition, but I’m predicting Labour 40 : … (View Post)