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Re: For those with short memories… – politicalbetting.com
No. Banbury's in Banbury constituency: Cameron was MP for the Witney constituency. Banbury constituency is more or less identical to Cherwell District, where the Tories have 25 seats and the oppositi…1 -
Re: TheTories haven’t yet found a way of dealing with the LDs? – politicalbetting.com
Wokingham summarises the problem perfectly. In 2010 and 2015 Redwood got over half the vote, polling almost four times what the Labour candidate got - and nearly five times the LDs. In 2019, he got l…1 -
Re: The LDs rarely lose when they go into a by-election “full gas” – politicalbetting.com
Two observations: 1. The last LD loss in a "full gas" by election wasn't ten years ago. In the past 6 years, the JDs have gone "full gas" at just five seats (Witney, Richmond Park…1 -
Re: If the Tories hold Tiverton & Honiton then Johnson will surely survive – politicalbetting.com
45% (the predicted LD and Tory shares according to the survey the Guardian quotes) of a 35,000 poll (by-elections typically get 60% or so of the previous GE turnout) is about 15,750. So the likelihoo…1 -
Re: The Tories still favorite to win most General Election seats – politicalbetting.com
"I would like to see the PB Tory view is of the "Blue Wall". The remain seats with 30%+ graduates that the LDs have been working on. Also there are few signs that the Tories can hold t…2
