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No. Banbury's in Banbury constituency: Cameron was MP for the Witney constituency. Banbury constituency is more or less identical to Cherwell District, where the Tories have 25 seats and the oppositi… (View Post)

Wokingham summarises the problem perfectly. In 2010 and 2015 Redwood got over half the vote, polling almost four times what the Labour candidate got - and nearly five times the LDs. In 2019, he got l… (View Post)

Two observations: 1. The last LD loss in a "full gas" by election wasn't ten years ago. In the past 6 years, the JDs have gone "full gas" at just five seats (Witney, Richmond Park… (View Post)

45% (the predicted LD and Tory shares according to the survey the Guardian quotes) of a 35,000 poll (by-elections typically get 60% or so of the previous GE turnout) is about 15,750. So the likelihoo… (View Post)

"I would like to see the PB Tory view is of the "Blue Wall". The remain seats with 30%+ graduates that the LDs have been working on. Also there are few signs that the Tories can hold t… (View Post)