Danny_Fort
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Re: A tale of two seats: Maidstone and Macclesfield – politicalbetting.com
5 months till election Trump 77 Biden 81 From the SSA data: p(77yo dead within 12m) 0.048 p(81yo ditto) 0.071 Multiply by 5/12 making silly linear assumption but overestimating chance of demise not t… (View Post)1 -
Re: Your reminder the betting markets are frequently wrong – politicalbetting.com
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/prime-minister-launches-retail-crime-crackdown "The government is also stepping up action to clamp down on offenders who repeatedly target the country’s high s… (View Post)1