Quite consistent with the YouGov new methodology, obviously. Pretty much Sunak's worst nightmare. (View Post)

Given that if YouGov hadn't changed its methodology, it would already have had a tie between Con and Refuk, unless it was an outlier we could expect to (3) in the next few days just through sampling … (View Post)

On that YouGov poll - it probably didn't capture the full impact of Farage's announcement, as it was taken on that day and the next. Just for fun, increasing each of the changes from last time by 50%… (View Post)

I think we are in rats' alley. Where the dead men lost their bones. (View Post)

If he had just said "we calculate Labour's tax rise will be £2000", then that might be true. But for some unfathomable reason he felt compelled to preface the claim by saying it had been ca… (View Post)