I think this election is very much about differential turnout of supporters in the swing states rather than convincing the undecideds, who are few in number and most of whom won't vote anyway. G… (View Post)

Why would that give you comfort? (View Post)

My exponential moving average (EMA) of national polls shows Kamala 2% ahead of Trump. My EC model using 538 moving averages by state shows 268 -270 Kamala to Trump. But I'm very wary of the poll… (View Post)

Putin would also lose support from China if he went nuclear. Nuclear war is the last thing China wants over Putin's "special operation". (View Post)

Or the IDF guarding the Gaza border on 7th October. (View Post)