politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Leader ratings side by side: How JC’s doing against DC gene
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Leader ratings side by side: How JC’s doing against DC generally & with party supporters
The next general election, of course is unlikely to be between Corbyn’s LAB and Cameron’s CON. The latter has made his exit intentions partially clear though we don’t know whether it’ll be before the election or afterwards.
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If you are delighted with the way he is trashing Labour, vote "satisfied"........
So we're really only one down with two night watchmen gone.
However, this won’t stop some trying to argue otherwise. – All part of the fun on PB.Com
Remember the punters who got 50/1 for the unknown Russian athlete Tatyana Dorovskikh in the 1991 World Championships -- before the bookies realised she was the Olympic gold-medallist who'd just got married.
Corbyn on 33% with Ipsos MORI is almost level with Cameron's 35% with ComRes
HMS OK
HMS Alright
HMS Average
HMS Not Bad
HMS So-So
HMS Adequate
HMS Normal
HMS Satisfactory
Wouldn't Ireland's tax deals with multinationals unravel I they were out of the EU?
Politico Daily
People thought @Ed_Miliband was a "dork" & "had the appeal of a potato" yet #BeckettReport called him "courageous" https://t.co/3P7SCRCMvG
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/may/11/milifan-prime-minister-ed-miliband
You could probably lay your mortgage on that.
The whole idea of the Japanese option is ridiculous IMO. But some will believe that is is cheaper and safer ...
Massive over-sampling of the public sector.
His odds are a wonder of the modern world.
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/may/11/milifan-prime-minister-ed-miliband
The argument for was of no imminent threat of a strike and a proven ability to deploy, and the comparison was made to empty US launch capabilities in Eastern Europe. So, I figure this critically depends on how exactly you put the nuclear capability on standby - do you sit the nukes ready to go in dockside silos at Faslane (I would guess not Corbyn's preferred option), or do you keep the manufacturing or assembling capability ready to go for years?
Would any of these be fast enough to respond to an escalation in tensions? Indeed could the process of re-arming Trident subs DURING an escalation in tensions itself be more dangerous than keeping the missiles on-board? Any which way, it is a fudge I cannot bring myself to like, but the context that the shark had already been jumped was enlightening.
A great Hertsmere MP.
- Took on his brother (and others) in a leadership election, and won. He didn't have to do that and knew the anguish it would cause those close to him in doing so. All the same, he believed in what he was doing and did it. And won.
- Took on NewsCorp, in a way that Blair and Brown never would. Whether that was politically wise is another matter but it wasn't the act of the weak-hearted.
- Took on big business elsewhere, from the energy sector to finance. Arguably, doing so was superficially popular and so an easy decision. Perhaps, but alternatively, he risked - and must have known he'd risk - his party's reputation on managing the economy if the reaction from CBI'tes was to loudly condemn him
So no, "courageous" isn't the least appropriate adjective to describe Ed. I'd make a suggestion as to what is but it would require too much mind-bleach.
I think his problem was not so much that he wasn't seen as a principled man, he was simply seen as weak and incapable.
Re-arming during a crisis would end up escalating that very tension. And how do you train a crew to handle weapons, and practice the launch procedures if there are no missiles on the boat? They're not an inert object, having onboard systems that are constantly monitored, to ensure safety and reliability.
The whole idea is a complete joke.
As it turned out, he wasn't an Arran Victor either.
The fervent Corbynistas on my fb are now much less overtly positive. They're still more negative about the government than they ever were under EdM. To a laughable extent, in fact. One pal today honestly, genuinely posted the article about the Cardiff wristbands and compared it to the Nazis. When I questioned him he replied with an emotional rant that questioned how I 'can't see the parallels'.
The longer people like this are associated with advocating the current Labour leadership, the worse the brand value of Labour will fall.
http://www.bbcgoodfood.com/recipes/5139/garlic-mash-potato-bake
I rather think though that Corbyn's, "have the subs but don't arm" them was purely political without even giving a nod to any arguments about defence. The unions want the subs built - jobs, unionised jobs in Cumbria. Corbyn doesn't like weapons. So build the subs and give them no weapons and both sides are happy.
- Reinforce the perception that Labour are a danger to national security
- Reinforce the perception that Labour are in thrall to the unions
- Reinforce the perception that Labour think wasteful spending is a good idea
- Reinforce the perception that Labour are hopelessly divided
- Look a complete twerp.
But, if you wargame the alternatives, it is unlikely to be a Blairite until hard left wing politics is rightly put back into its box after an electoral thumping.
Whether a reasonable compromise exists is a separate question - another that I've seen knocking around would be "proactive multilateralism", where we offer to give up our nukes in exchange for some other countries scaling theirs back by similar numbers. That is possibly achievable (Russia and the US have both scaled back already) and avoids the "don't give up something for nothing" criticism while arguably making the world a bit safer, but of course won't satisfy anyone who wants us to have Trident so long as there's another nuke anywhere on the planet.
Personally I've come to feel that the emergence of Trump et al means we shouldn't rule out Britain at some point having someone in charge with an itchy nuclear trigger finger. The theory that only foreign countries will ever be dangerous to world peace (none of us actually want a nuclear war even if we "win") is not necessarily sound.
Another deliberate leak designed by the leaker(s) to block Obama's ability to suppress the FBI investigation, as well as DOJ action against Clinton and her immediate personal staff. This article, and the implied threat of more such leaks, effectively shuts out the possibility of a POTUS intervention in the investigation.
It will be surprising if there are not indictments.
Political juggernaut 'creepy' Joe Biden waits in the wings. I see no threat for Trump from him.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xy07yHAgM4E
Although potentially he could attain the double crown of being both the dumbest VP and President in US history.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C2mzbuRgnI4
Ed's legacy is being undermined and in some cases demolished by Corbyn. No wonder Ed is lukewarm.
He also manages to make the commitment against nukes look half hearted.
As if he's waiting for the Conservatives to come back in and arm the subs he's built, like he half believes in them. But not quite.
Indeed, we are rarely informed for nearly all the decisions we take in life - we rely on patterns of behaviour and heuristics. It has served humanity well for most of its existence, but is, of course, 'not right' for democracy.
The WE.177C freefall bombs were withdrawn from the RN in 1992, and the RAF in 1998.
AS for "scaling bakc by similar numbers": it wouldn't make a dent in (say) the Russian arsenal. Our nukes are under 2% of the world total.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/newsbeat/article/35399467/irish-potato-picture-sells-for-750000
1 - Nice carefree chap, was JCR pres when I arrived but no-one else seemed to care about politics.
2- Lefty crusader, but not overly offensive JCR pres because she really wanted to be and her friends were happy to attend to vote for her.
3 - Lovely sensible centrist friend of mine, one of the fairest people I know - now a crusading (human rights etc) barrister. I can't remember who opposed her, but IIRC even he knew he wouldn't have a chance.
In short - it tells you nothing about EdM.
http://www.blunt4reigate.com/news/figures-show-crippling-costs-renewing-trident
Awful lot of money to subsidise a handful of jobs.
In one email, Clinton pressured Sullivan to declassify cabled remarks by a foreign leader.
“Just email it,” Clinton snapped, to which Sullivan replied: “Trust me, I share your exasperation. But until ops converts it to the unclassified email system, there is no physical way for me to email it.”
In another recently released email, Clinton instructed Sullivan to convert a classified document into an unclassified email attachment by scanning it into an unsecured computer and sending it to her without any classified markings. “Turn into nonpaper w no identifying heading and send nonsecure,” she ordered.
If this is accurate, how could it not lead to an indictment?
IANAL, but it suggests intent, foreknowledge that the information was classified, presumably conspiracy, malfeasance and lots of other goodies.
Maybe Labour should send Corbyn to live in the Calais jungle.
Can someone explain to me why she was doing this?
Was it to benefit from the information, or was she just fed up with the system?
First year JCR President must mean getting elected in your first term surely? My point wasn't around his ability to get elected, apply, or do the (minor) job. It was the timing,
We should wait and see, Trump has stated his intention to re-engage with the Russians, after all these years since Bush withdrew from the ABM treaty, so I wouldn't be surprised to see a reduction from both sides, provided the Americans have the will.
Measures are unimportant. The reality is. Trust the Lords to get twisted knickers about mere, bloody measures.
I did catch a glimpse of Alison McGovern's very, very, very low-cut top!