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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Marf Royal Baby series – This afternoon’s instalment
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As the political and school year ends, any chance of a thread showing how overall polls and betfair has moved since Sept 2012 and what OGH concludes?
Other than obviously Ed is crap & Dan H is the new red messiah.
Philip of Spain
Titters ....
Julian Gregory selected by LDs in Islington North.
Terry Stacy selected by LDs in Islington South.
http://eastmidslibdems.org.uk/en/page/weekly-briefing-11-july-2013
"Duh - I don't often write acid comments, and I just made a couple of jokey ones about the baby name thread. Is your humour detector working?
But can be hard to detect when a post is a joke. Apologies to anyone fond of babies who was offended!"
Accepted Nick .... Will we sight you on this thread !!
LOL
Since the start of this year I've been doing regular GE betting odds pieces partly to provide an historical record.
Enter tim from left...
Next UK GE - best prices:
Hung parliament 13/8 (Ladbrokes)
Labour majority 28/17 (Betfair)
Conservative majority 4/1 (Paddy Power)
Apology as Forbes withdraws 'homosexual' claim about President Michael D Higgins
There comes a time when it is best to see you are in the wrong, back down and apologise. It is best if that is done early. It is now far too late for Perry to do that without severe embarrassment (deserved, IMHO). I guess Boris or Livingstone would have reacted very differently.
http://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/commons-select/education-committee/news/working-class-white-underachievement/
Eg. on the overall maj chart, click on the square graph icon before "Conservative Majority" and you get a pop-up. Then click on the "All history" file, and Hey Presto! all the figures for all the bookies+betfair going back to 2010.
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics-and-election/next-uk-general-election/overall-majority
Now 3/1.
Mind you, against that there's George Monbiot.
Other than that a great laugh Marf.
Agreed but given the vagaries of polls etc. there will probably be a number of good chances to get into this trade.
Interesting stuff that I had never heard of before. It looks like the UK may have problems with iodine deficiency as well (3).
(1): http://www.businessinsider.com/iodization-effect-on-iq-2013-7
(2): http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iodised_salt
(3): http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-13034582
(edit prevent!=cause)
http://www.buzzfeed.com/jwherrman/britains-leading-anti-porn-politician-doesnt-seem-to-know-ho
Well Time gave it to Hitler in '38 and Stalin in '39, so it depends what performance monitor one uses, I suppose.
"People who suffer long-term iodine deficiency can actually end up with from hyperthyroidism when it's introduced to their diet, so deaths spiked for a few years."
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/iodization-effect-on-iq-2013-7
You are muddling process and output.
Again.
Victoria @ 10/1William and Kate's Baby SpecialsOpen
First Name of William and Kates baby
Stake: £2.50Potential Returns: £27.50
Single To Win
Elizabeth @ 16/1William and Kate's Baby SpecialsOpen
First Name of William and Kates baby
Stake: £1.56Potential Returns: £26.52
Could be labelled 'optimistic'
I am beginning to notice a pattern.
As a father of six, I think it has to go to Madiba.
No wonder you don't like him.
"The general secretary of Britain's biggest union launched a furious attack on the way Labour's Westminter leadership handled the allegations that Unite attempted to rig the selection of a parliamentary candidate in Falkirk.
He said that the "crisis", which has prompted a police investigation, had pushed Labour's historic relationship with the union movement which founded the party "to breaking point".
In his speech, to an audience of union members, Mr McCluskey set out his first detailed response to Mr Miliband's proposals to reform the historic links between Labour and the unions. He set out his terms for accepting Mr Miliband's plan, which will see every affiliated union member asked for the first time to "opt in" to Labour membership, rather than being automatically enrolled.
Mr McCluskey said he believed that it was right to reform Labour's relations with the unions. However, he demanded far reaching powers for unions in return.
Members who join Labour under the new arrangements must have "the right" to take part in choosing Labour candidates for Westminster and to an equal say in the election of party leaders.
New Labour's influence must be radically reined in, he said, singling out Lord Sainsbury, the Blairite donor to Labour and former minister, for particular criticism.
Mr McCluskey condemned Labour's approach to his union, saying the party had taken union donations "for granted" while rejecting their "input" into policy... http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/labour/10199819/Len-McCluskey-Unite-must-have-more-power-over-Labour.html
"This row isn’t over yet by any means..."
http://labourlist.org/2013/07/party-hq-confirm-that-their-falkirk-report-wont-be-made-public/
"...No, OK, Len McCluskey didn't do any of that. Actually he unleashed a bizarre rant via a webcast to Union members in which he laid down the law to the Labour leader and castigated the party over the way in which it has handled the investigation into allegations of a fandango in Falkirk. McCluskey likes to range far and wide, sneering at the rich (which doesn't cover very well-paid trade union leaders it seems) and beating up on Tony Blair, a Labour leader who had the temerity to win three general elections.
McCluskey said today that he supports Ed Miliband's proposed reforms on party funding, which could mean an end to the political levy as currently constituted, but only it seems fair to assume because the new arrangements might give him and other unions extra power over policy and candidate selection. In this way Miliband's attempt to diminish the power of the trade unions is going to be used by unions bosses to secure more power. What a mess.
But the overwhelming feeling his rants induce in this observer is mild depression leavened with the thought that the Unite agenda is unlikely to be very popular in most of the country. Who wants to live in a country run by Len McCluskey or according to his doctrines? What a narrow, divisive, bleak and outmoded approach he embodies.
For all the tedious screeching about "werkin' peeeple" one gets the impression that the only "werkin' people" of which Len approves are those people working in jobs where they can be members of Unite or of the other large unions. The rest of us are bourgeois lackeys and capitalist running dogs, no matter how hard any of us work. Dare to get on or become modestly affluent in any way other than becoming a trade union leader and you are "rich". And being "rich" obviously involves leaching off, you guessed it, the "werkin' people"..." http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/iainmartin1/100227937/who-wants-to-live-in-len-mccluskeys-britain/
Much better than the Pride and Prejudice from Tim all day.
I'll get me coat!
"My message to Paul Dackery (sic) is clear. We know you are sleazy bullies. We know you love to kick the poor while you lick the boots of the rich. We know you loathe women in public life. But if you think you will break the unions you are as stupid as your predecessors who said hooray for the blackshirts”.
- which Tim Shipman reminded him is his members' most popular newspaper!
I remember how the Mail absolutely loathed Margaret Thatcher's role in public life! They are pretty iffy over the queen and hated Diana.......
"...As regular readers of this sketch will know, Mr Gove is not the first senior Tory with an enthusiasm for hip-hop. Sir Alec Douglas-Home was a keen devotee of both Ghostface Killah and Lethal Bizzle. At Eton, Jacob Rees-Mogg earned the nickname “Snoop Moggy Mogg” for his energetic renditions, after lights out, of Public Enemy’s Fight the Power and Three 6 Mafia’s Hard Out Here for a Pimp. David Cameron, meanwhile, regularly impresses visitors to Chequers with performances as his hip-hop alter ego, the Rhyme Minister.
This afternoon, at a Q&A session in London hosted by the market research company Populus, Mr Gove was asked what he’d rapped about at the dinner party. A traditional topic, perhaps, such as the institutional racial bias of the US legal system, or the iniquities of the modern ho.
In fact, it emerged that Mr Gove had chosen a topic even closer to the hearts of urban youth. “I was rapping,” he said, “in praise of Toby Young, whose West London Free School has just been ranked by Ofsted as having outstanding features.”
Readers unfamiliar with hip-hop trends may imagine Ofsted inspections to be a new subject for rap, but on the contrary it is well-covered ground, with hits in recent years for Jay Z’s Developing Skillz (Across Da Curriculum), Kanye West’s Excellent Understanding of Cultural Diversity, and Flo Rida’s Judgment Day (Send Da Bad Kids Home).
Today Mr Gove declined to demonstrate his rapping prowess. Fortunately, The Daily Telegraph has seen a copy of his lyric sheet, and is able to publish an exclusive extract.
“Outstanding features/ And effective teachers/ Dis school’s beyond da reaches/ Of union leeches/ And Left-wing ideological preachers/ The baldie who founded it is a bit big for his breeches/ But da headmaster’s speeches/ Are absolute peaches/ And there ain’t been no breaches/ Of professional standards of conduct as far as Ofsted inspectors have been able to ascertain/ West London Free School massive, make some noiiiise.”
Which also include......er.....non-werkin Peeeple. Unite encourages the jobless to sign up, too.
Good slogan for the tories, that.
"Outstanding features/ And effective teachers/ Dis school’s beyond da reaches/ Of union leeches/ And Left-wing ideological preachers/ The baldie who founded it is a bit big for his breeches/ But da headmaster’s speeches/ Are absolute peaches/ And there ain’t been no breaches/ Of professional standards of conduct as far as Ofsted inspectors have been able to ascertain/ West London Free School massive, make some noiiiise.”
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/10200574/Sketch-Michael-Goves-old-school-rhythms.html
Who'd had guessed that.
One more and it wouldn't print on a boarding pass.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-23430217
Let's hope everyone got off her safely. I wonder if Tall Ships are sinking faster than they are being built? The Asgard II, the HMS Bounty replica, and the Wyvern have all been lost in the last few years.
I will hold you in contempt til the end of my days.
"Some weather forecasters are predicting temperatures to peak at 40C on Sunday, with track temperatures hovering around 50C. That'll put Pirelli's softer specification of tyres, which are introduced this weekend, under the spotlight once more. "
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/23425386
I suspect Mercedes will not be thrilled to hear that.
In fairness, I'd made a packet out of laying Alexandra - so I was playing with that profit. But it's still about a £1.2k down the drain.
Onwards & upwards, eh?!
Do the OBR approve ??
Mr. Pulpstar, I entirely agree. Hungary's a tedious circuit. Badly designed and too hard to overtake on as a result. It's possible we'll see tyre degradation lead to some changes in the race, though.
These touch screen devices are a bloody nightmare.
I once flagged a comment by OGH, I was duly exiled to conhome.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prince_George,_Duke_of_Cambridge
Well, no surprise on the name front and so (all being well) we'll have George VII, William V and then George VIII who will probably not ascend the throne before 2070.
I won't be around to see that and it's a reminder of one's own mortality.
I also hope that George will be allowed a life beyond military service - it would be good for him to build a different career.
I found it disappointing that both William and Henry went into the Armed Forces - it would have been good for one of them to pursue a career in business or commerce which is perhaps more in tune with the Britain of the 21st Century and beyond. It perhaps disconnects them from the life of the bulk of the population whose connection to the Armed Forces is tenuous at best.
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/willheaven/100227992/evening-briefing-civil-war-in-the-labour-party/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
Waiting around for a role can be a bit tiresome. The forces seem to be a good way to fill that gap.
Queen Victoria was Alexandrina
Edward VII was Albert
George V was George
Edward VIII was Edward
George VI was Albert
Elizabeth II was Elizabeth
A 15% return for about 4 hours isn't bad
I agree wholeheartedly with Len. I sincerely hope Labour explicitly offer voters a genuine left wing choice.
Perhaps becoming a CoE vicar would also be fairly safe...
No party seems immune from their own goal specialists.
Labour gets a black mark for misleading people with the wrong figures. As stated above, Labour quoted population figures instead of school places and these are not the same thing.
Worse still, the population figures have already been factored into the forecast shortage of school places.
It’s also worth us pointing out that using global figures for an issue so poignantly local is meaningless.
Labour’s warning will ring true in Croydon, where parents face a 15.8 per cent shortfall of school places by 2014. But it will ring hollow in North Warwickshire, which faces a surplus of 38.8 per cent in the same year.
http://blogs.channel4.com/factcheck/factcheck-black-mark-for-labour-on-primary-school-places/14069
Diplomat would seem to me to be a good choice. I'm sure some countries wouldn't mind a prince as their ambassador. Better than Sir Boring Nomark.....
Though might need to up MOD spending so he could get his mates stuck in. Its about time we taught those frogs another lesson.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BP8aC65CUAA5FQI.jpg:large
Rob Marchant @rob_marchant
Think it's time for one last tweet of @GeneralBoles' inspired photo pic.twitter.com/xp5bxhkdQm accompanying my column labour-uncut.co.uk/2013/07/24/ed-…