Options
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Rubio takes over the Republican nominee favourite slot on B

Florida Senator Marco Rubio ousts ex-Florida governor, Jeb Bush, as GOP nominee Betfair betting favourite pic.twitter.com/TI0ObR5IG7
0
Comments
Would have taken those 3 days ago but now both a bit of a let down
As for the cricket. At least there was some excitement today.
Ah, Cricket, what a bizarre and wonderful game you can be to make people feel disappointed at a draw after an entire week of expecting nothing but.
Rubio has his work cut out. If Trump drops out of the race a huge chunk of his support goes to Carson. If Carson drops out of the race a huge chunk of his support goes to Trump. Only if both candidates drop out will Rubio benefit. Rubio is a lay for now.
https://twitter.com/timothy_stanley/status/655390252790599680
Better coverage than Lizzie Windsor gets at Xmas.
https://twitter.com/IsabelHardman/status/655393472254517248
Great comment from @kle4 that we've all been expecting a draw for 4 3/4 days and ended up disappointed to get it!
It now has 29 electoral votes (+2) and is nearly always on the winning side.
It really depends on whether the GOP is serious about winning doesn't it?
Would it not benefit one party to have chosen their candidate months ago and be hammering their single position against a divided opposing party?
To put in a British context, would Labour have chosen Corbyn a year before a certain general election?
The repositioning by the candidates seems to be more of a problem for the GOP than the Democrats, possibly reflecting which party is nearer the centre point of American views. It did Romney no favours last time out.
On Rubio, wouldn't a Hispanic nominee that has championed amnesty might mean a Trump indy run is more likely?
Referendums not so much.
http://www.economist.com/news/britain/21674723-soft-autocracy-nationalist-scotland-cawdors-shadow
David - is there a general realisation amongst Scottish voters that the SNP are good at winning elections but less than wonderful at producing substantive outcomes despite the increasing largesse (in terms of both monies and powers) dished upon Holyrood by London?
Fantastic unification of the Police, providing record low levels of crime.
Amazing education improvements at all levels from pre-school to University.
Wonderful delivery of infrastructure projects, multi-billion pound spends coming in on time and under budget (compare with Labours "late and four times the price").
Phenomenal record on budgeting, providing satisfaction levels with services well beyond anywhere else in the UK despite a heavy fiscal squeeze.
Terrific tax cuts to help everyone in society.
Unparallelled support for equality both in equal marriage and promoting women into the workforce.
Extraordinary employment figures leading to economic active population in Scotland being a full percentage point higher than in the rUK and through growing the workforce the Capacity for more employment is still higher than England despite the higher percentage already in work.
Paedophile punishing laws coming which provide access to help for all children in Scotland with no buck passing.
There's lots more, it's much like the Monty Python routine about the Romans where the various versions of the Popular Front are called Liberals and Tories and SLABbers while they're all really the same.
They could be in for one hell of a tanking.
Only disappointment is the Saffers aren';t doing the second half collapse they have had in every game so far so my 15-21pts Wales won't be a winner.
Bah. I backed Rubio last election.
Was watching the rugby but decided to get some work done and/or buy some Christmas presents.
911 certainly happened but I suggest the remarks are aimed at the period after the bin Ladin attack, an attack which was mostly planned during the Clinton administration. This last point is really to draw attention to the fact that the Bush administration was not the catalyst for the attack.
As it is the Corbynite wing really need to make the deselection policy to work before the 2020 election to be able to rod themselves of right wing and centrist labour MPs to ensure a suitable candidate to nominated next.
Provided Corbyn stays well he can of course remain as leader as long has he wants. By what mechanism can he be replaced as long has the membership want him there?
On the other hand, I'd rather a three match bet lose immediately than later on.
I would certainly be interested to learn of alternative corbynite strategies.
Vincent Moss @vincentmoss 4 mins4 minutes ago
We have a @TheSundayMirror and Indy on Sunday ComRes poll out later tonight.
When I read the rules it said potential challengers (which Corbyn would not be, as existing leader) need nominations.
I.e. Corbyn goes back on automatically.
Complaining that the winning margin bet isn't going to cop & the team doesn't even win... That's some going
No point continuing the conversation with him on that topic.
"nominations may be sought by potential challengers"
nothing about the existing leader then needing to be renominated.
I speak as someone with a long experience of sporting failure and have long accepted that it is better to laugh at the situation than consider anyone cracking jokes as trolling.
Even St Nic made a joke about Euro 2016 in her opening speech to the SNP conference - June 2016, perfect time for the Second Referendum while England, Wales and Norn Irn are otherwise distracted.
It's about time that the betting markets realize that Jeb Bush is not the favourite in the race, he's usually polling 5th place or lower, while Rubio is one place ahead of him.
But Rubio equally has very low chances to get the nomination, simply being more aggressive than McCain on foreign affairs doesn't get you enough votes especially when Rubio loves immigration, which is anathema to republican voters.
Look at Trump, look at Carson, everytime they berate immigrants or muslims they rise in the polls, because that's what the voters want.
Who controls that again?
Stamp Duty replacement has cut the bill on over 90% of sales.
These are the only public facing taxes they have control over.
The SNPs record in making taxes fairer by slashing them is one of the main reasons why Westminster won't hand over the keys to the fiscal balance, they know they would be embarrassed.