politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Great speech by Boris – but it’s had no impact on Betfair

This is a story that is probably going to go on for the next 3 to 4 years. Who is going to be the successor to David Cameron and will the prize go to one of the top two favourites?
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TORY PARTY MEMBERS
George Osborne 33%
Boris Johnson 31%
Theresa May 17%
Don't Know/Wouldn't Vote 10%
GENERAL PUBLIC
Boris Johnson 25%
Theresa May 9%
George Osborne 9%
Don't Know/Wouldn't Vote 54%
http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/sb6ms6gh7x/Conservative_Leadership_Website.pdf
FPT:-
At my place of work we have just invited a prominent woman to come and speak about a campaign she is running about empowering women and, particularly, girls. The introduction to her talks mentions in this order: (1) her name; (2) where she works; (3) the number of her children; (4) whom she is married to; and (5) last the campaign she has set up and the reason why she has been invited.
I raised an objection to this on the basis that a male invitee would as likely as not have no details about his children or partner, would not put the main achievement and the main reason for the invitation last and because it somehow implies that people without children may not also have other caring responsibilities.
They've agreed to look at this again. It's a small thing I realise. And where I work does try quite hard to take sensible steps on Diversity and make practical suggestions / provide practical help rather than just talk about it. But still it grates a bit that lazy assumptions like this are still being made.
I think Theresa May is the closest the Tories have to a "continuity Cameron" candidate. She has the same brand strengths as him: she naturally has a leader's "gravitas", she projects steady competence, she's good at atleast pretending she's doing what she thinks is best for the country rather than playing political games. Plus, although she doesn't exactly ooze charm, she doesn't come across as outright dislikeable in the way Osborne does either.
Boris is something of a risk in that he potentially throws away the Cameron strength of gravitas, but he also has strengths which Cameron doesn't: namely people who would ordinarily detest the Tories like him and will be willing to listen to him (especially youngsters).
Osborne conversely lacks many of Cameron's strengths, but doesn't bring anything to the table which Cameron doesn't: he doesn't come across as a natural leader with "gravitas", he's not likeable in the slightest, and he's very transparent at playing political games which the public just doesn't like (see Brown). Yet the Tories are apparently intent on shooting themselves in the foot by choosing him.
What bemuses me is that western women are far more worried about this than they are about what goes on in Saudi Arabia.
Are any feminists picketing the Saudi embassy? The Pakistani Embassy? The Afghan embassy? No.
Meanwhile white western men are hung out to dry for increasingly minor transgressions.
Its becoming absurd.
So yes... it bl**dy well does concern us.
If it weren't for all that she could be Thatcher: The Next Generation.
Modern Western Women have far more power and choice than any women anywhere, ever. Ask any 50 something bloke who loses his job and then is turned into a grease spot by a wife who suddenly wants a divorce when the cash dries up (not me I hasten to add).
Men are, luckily, starting to notice. Marriage rates are falling through the floor because it just ain;t worth it any more.
A male speaker probably would not include such information but then he probably would not be there to talk about, and hopefully inspire, women making more of themselves.
Labour are I think naturally an anti-democratic party - they don't think it works. Neither do I, but I still vote Tory.
What you describe is not restricted to men. I've had women get over familiar with me, and I've seen it happen to other men too, on plenty of occasions.
But that's alright, because as men we're supposed to enjoy it, right? because we're such sex perverts?
(Edited: Oh and by the way the people who drafted the invite were women so this was not an anti-man thing.)
As Edmund Burke once said: "Nobody made a greater mistake than he who did nothing because he could only do a little."
On Saudi Arabia you might want to see what happens to prominent women who do raise concerns about what goes on in that ghastly country - http://new.spectator.co.uk/2015/03/swedens-feminist-foreign-minister-has-dared-to-tell-the-truth-about-saudi-arabia-what-happens-now-concerns-us-all/.
Autres temps, autres moeurs. It's silly to judge them from a twenty-first century perspective.
I get annoyed by so-called feminists acting as if all women are "victims". I'm not a victim. Whether I get on in life, or I don't - as I see it, it's down to me.
(But you will have to come to one of my talks to hear the rest!!)
Rubbish. The fact is that white middle class men are the softest targets going, and most women here would far rather take this easiest of routes than take on real miscreants.
AS if what you were doing would have the slightest effect whatever on FGM or muslim taxi drivers gang raping white girls.
I don't want to overstate this - it's only a small point - but there is "unconscious bias" around and sometimes it's good to notice it and challenge it.
Predictably stupid response in the New Statesman She talks about immigration; he talks about racism.
*facepalm*
The Left really do have a tin ear for this sort of thing.
We currently have the daft situation whereby we have 600,000 immigrants a year but businesses are complaining that immigration rules mean it is very difficult to get visa's for the highly skilled people they need. Pure madness and theresa May has no answer.
kle4 said:
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I think it wouldn't get taken literally...but the person writing it would be punished as if it was, on the basis of 'going too far'.
You have to be kidding? Where have you been for the last 20 years?
Why don't you tweet it and find out for yourself? That's not a challenge and I do not expect you to ever do it because the fall out would be horrific and the fact I warn you against that really speaks for itself. You would not do such a thing because you have decency and respect. This lady did not.
Equally are bad and should not ever be in a public domain or even considered as worth speaking ...ever.
The Left really do have a tin ear for this sort of thing.
If you don't like immigration, you're a racist. There are fewer racists, therefore more people like immigration. Typical lefty half-logic.
You can accept "victim" status or you can refuse to, make it clear that the person misbehaving is at fault and make damn sure that you are taken seriously. It takes courage but it's easier the older you get not least because I'm less inclined - frankly - to put up with a load of sh*t. And I will make my views known.
I rather like the idea that MrTimT said he taught his daughters - of imagining a force field around them and that no-one could do anything to them within that force field that they did not want. My father taught me something similar.
I think it will be very much like here in the end. Nanos and their daily poll will play the same role as YouGov.
I know this is going to sound extremely trite next to that - but as a relatively privileged, modern, middle-class example - when I was at prep school, aged eight, it was surnames only for the pupils. The cane was only banned in my private school c.1990. I was caned by a BoB spitfire pilot that very year.
When I started work, less than fifteen years ago, my line manager pulled me in for a chat because I hadn't shaved - I had one day's growth - and dress-down Friday's were fiercely debated. There were plenty of meetings I went to where you weren't expected to speak, or listened to if you did, if you were too young or junior. I had some people ask me (and I felt judge me) by whether I played rugby and what school I went to. I usually passed - I side-stepped the rugby question - but it wouldn't have occurred to some of the older staff that retired roughly when I joined to put someone female, or of colour, in front of a client either unless they were outstandingly good.
I don't necessarily think *all* change since then is positive change - not least, I always wear a tie, and like professional smartness and English fashion (yes, red trousers and tweed) - but almost all of that convention has changed.
Some call me a social conservative now. But up until the late 1990s/early 1990s I was very liberal because there was a lot still quite stuffy and a tad authoritarian in British culture and society.
Rubbish yourself, frankly. I do not take on white middle class men. My talk is not about that at all - and nor is it particularly about "women's issues". There is good behaviour and bad behaviour.
Where I work I can do nothing about FGM. So I do what I can about the things I can do something about.
It sounds to me that where you work, you can't really do much about anything, and so like the rest of us, perhaps you should admit as much.
But my next one is at 9 am tomorrow so (a) no time; (b) I need my dinner and sleep; (c) I'd have to shoot you all afterwards or something because my cover would be blown.....Smiley Face!!!
So next time, eh??
Anecdote time...
It's not , I have a daughter of the precise same opinion and she is right. We would not even think to mention that.
I am reminded of a very bad mistake I made a few years ago with a young lady that came for a job interview. She was very qualified and had some experience behind her in the scientifically technical work she had been doing previously. She was entering a pretty much 99% all male environment in shall be say isolated locations. I asked her why like others, she had not put down any outside interests on her Cv?. She challenged me does that impact on what I am applying for or if I can do my job?
Nope! She was superb and achieved finally a very senior position and had every right to do so.
I never ever asked that question again of male or female in any interview I did.
We all learn......
And courts need to stop discriminating against men when assigning custody. They often get punished twice: they spend long hours at work to earn more for the sake of their families, and then when the divorce happens that is used against them so they see their children even less, but they still have to give up more of the money.
Apparently it isn't the 'done' thing for a man, especially one who was earning reasonably well.
Yet for us it was the obvious and logical thing to do.
Both men and women have to try to fit into the roles expected of them. These strict and sometimes nonsensical restrictions are being broken down for both sexes. This is mostly positive, although there can be downsides.
Personally I feel happier taking my toddler to a playgroup than I ever would chanting at some overpaid idiots on the football field.
I like men. Well, most men. Well... some of them.....
It's not much - whatever your definition of "much" is. But it's not nothing.
And of course, it is not white people that have the most resistance to marrying outside their group. But the left won't criticise non-white people.
Personally I don't agree as I believe in more openness but no party leader has ever been more open than that and May's speech IMO is entirely consistent with Dave saying he wants net migration in the tens of thousands.
It is not consistent with the racist one-trick-pony that the arsehole Farage has become.
As it is that target looks increasingly difficult given the growth in our economy compared to others. As it happens it looks as if EU judges have backed the govts position re benefits tourism. Also the govt action on reducing benefits is aimed at getting more native Brits into work instead of being cast aside as otherwise unemployable.
Here's the question. How many of those saying it isn;t the done thing are blokes? and how many women?
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/oct/05/sun-tory-tax-credit-cuts-wrong-osborne-conference
We always had a rule that one of us was always there in the evening / for school events / if the tother was travelling and that weekends were absolutely sacred. When the children were younger I never went to social events in the evening because I felt that I wanted time for my family and that work got enough out of me as it was.
But whatever choice you make don't let others make you feel guilty about it.
And of course the woman is free to take up with chr8st knows who and have him in the marital home.
"It's hard to know where to start with Theresa May's awful, ugly, misleading, cynical and irresponsible speech to the Conservative Party conference today.
If you haven't seen reports of it, allow me to summarise: "Immigrants are stealing your job, making you poorer and ruining your country. Never mind the facts, just feel angry at foreigners. And make me Conservative leader." "
Not everything by any means buy not worthless either.
Having said that, most of my long-term friends are well used to me making 'odd' decisions in my life, particularly wrt what might be referred to as my 'career', which I only stumbled into.
However, whilst most of the mothers have been very welcoming, I do detect a certain stand-offishness in one or two. Nothing verbal, and no comments - just a reluctance to admit me into a couple of small circles. This has only occurred after our baby's become a toddler, as if the cuteness of a baby breaks through any such reluctance.
Reverting to stereotyping, that seems to be a difference between the sexes - the men who think it is odd say something but do nothing, the women who think it is odd say nothing and do something,
So from my experience, it works both ways. If women want the conventions broken down, they should not erect barriers to men who also break other conventions.
Thought Zac was alot better personally.
Boris' just went on and on and.....
I work in a mostly female workplace but have never encountered the sexism that Cyclefree and Bev C seem to have. I do not think it just that I didn't notice, but the public sector can be more PC than the private sector.
it should also be said that I've had other men say "lucky git!" to me. I'm not sure many women who stay at home realise that their partners miss their children whilst they are out working.
Many (most?) fathers desperately miss their children.
I suspect that in terms of Conservative voters, there are a lot more of the former than the latter.
I always think its funny how women want an ever wider range of opportunities, and at the same time a vast store of eligible men with good careers to marry, because women simply don;t date down.
Where are all the good men???.....er.....you took their jobs.
You can turn what some might see as a weakness into a strength.
I'm quite proud of the fact that some friends of ours, with a son just a month younger than ours, have recently made a similar decision. Now their son's a year old, he's chucked in his job to become full-time carer, and she's gone back to work four days a week. Apparently my example was instrumental in this.
http://thetab.com/2014/10/15/now-vile-su-refuse-to-commemorate-holocaust-because-its-eurocentric-and-colonialist-22243
And this after refusing to condemn ISIS, as that would be "Islamophobic".
is it someone that comes with experience for a number of years, works for a professional company, uses their skills and experience to benefit the British economy and build a future
Or is it someone that evades capture at the border turns up at a service station north of Dover and then claims asylum then lives here forever on the tax payer?
There were ways to get that message across to the party faithful: that was absolutely not it.
She lost me the moment she said it.