politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Greek election result: Tspiras set to return as PM
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Greek election result: Tspiras set to return as PM
With 40% of the vote counted, Alexis Tsipras seems set to return to power #GreekElections http://t.co/eQq0yeeojq pic.twitter.com/fMkl9plHCN
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Chance of them losing a seat to the Commies (who've just lost one to the River)...
Though given the electoral chaos in the past few years, and to permit a terrible joke, might there not be a chance for a new party of 'Old Democracy' to sweep to popularity?
On the subject of misleadingly with-it party names, I nominate Wildrose.
I argued here at the time of Charlie Hebdo that it wasn't necessarily the religion of Islam that was the problem, but the proportion of the country that was of a religion that had rapidly risen to a critical mass that meant it could attack the dominant culture. I think @Charles called it conflict theory.
Look at the proportion of Muslims in traditionally non Muslim countries (since the enlightenment).. once it hits 4-10% you start to see terrorism
<1% Armenia · Belarus · Czech Republic · Estonia · Finland · Hungary · Iceland · Latvia · Lithuania · Malta · Moldova · Monaco · Poland · Portugal · Romania · San Marino · Slovakia · Ukraine
1–2% Andorra · Croatia · Ireland
2–4% Italy · Luxembourg · Norway · Serbia · Slovenia · Spain
4–5% Denmark · Greece · Liechtenstein · United Kingdom
5–10% Austria · Belgium · Bulgaria · France · Germany · Netherlands · Sweden · Switzerland
10–20% Georgia · Montenegro · Russia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islam_in_Europe
One country very near Britain has as its leading parties the Clan of the Gael, the Warband of Destiny, and Ourselves.
Eligible remainders
0.87 Golden Dawn
0.77 Independent Greeks
0.63 Syriza
0.62 River
0.50 Communists
0.47 ND
0.08 PASOK
0.05 Union of Centrists
wait for it...
drum roll...
the Conservatives
But lessons from Ireland suggest that one of the most important requirements for a successful or threatening terrorist campaign is a broadly sympathetic cadre of non-combants amongst whom they can hide and find non-violent forms of support (tip offs, spotting, early warning, resupply, distraction etc).
As for what percentage that i, who knows, but I can certainly believe that there is a threshold.
*figuratively
0.77 Independent Greeks
0.68 River
0.58 ND
0.56 Syriza
0.50 Communists
0.06 PASOK
0.02 Union of Centrists
Israel 16% ('67 borders)
India 14%
Philippines 10%
Sri Lanka 10%
Thailand 5%
China 2%
River in danger too.
"When the people are being beaten with a stick, they are not much happier if it is called the People's Stick"
Mikhail Bakunin
Re: "Madness? This is Syrizia!"
It looks to me that Sparta is one of the regions that voted ND, Syrizia was too mad even for them!
Golden Dawn seat now in the mix.
5 Remainder seats available
0.999 Union of Centrists
0.747 Independent Greeks
0.719 Golden Dawn
0.708 River
0.691 Syriza
0.634 Communists
0.491 ND
0.010 PASOK
http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2015/sep/20/new-birmingham-new-street-amazing-just-first-impressions
I'm not sure there is a great deal to renationalise.
Even Mormons in 19th Century America caused a lot of trouble until they were given a piece of land to call their own.
(Note for SeanT: looks ripe for conversion to a mosque...)
The danger comes not when the group itself rises up (always unlikely they would win), but when an outside power decides to use them as a pretext and attack you to 'defend the rights' of the minority. A very old tactic of power politics.
Bless him.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islam_in_Europe
I'm by no means an expert on conflict theory, or on Islam.
But lessons from Ireland suggest that one of the most important requirements for a successful or threatening terrorist campaign is a broadly sympathetic cadre of non-combants amongst whom they can hide and find non-violent forms of support (tip offs, spotting, early warning, resupply, distraction etc).
As for what percentage that i, who knows, but I can certainly believe that there is a threshold.
Moreover, the Islamists do not have a negotiable political objective (like the IRA), they simply want to kill us, because of who we are, or at the very least subjugate us, so they can impose a Caliphate and tax the infidels. And rape pagan women.
There is no dealing with this. Islam is undergoing a psychosis, whose origins lie far in the past (before western intervention) and the outcome of which is deeply unpredictable.
We should insulate and defend ourselves, and our liberal quasi-Christian culture, and exclude Muslims. That Hungarian nutter is right.
I sympathise with the gist of your view although I think it might have been more equably expressed
= you're a coward.
Why? There is more persuasion in moderation than a febrile rant
The direction of travel is clear to all by the most boneheaded loyalists and the idea that there is something can be done to prevent Scottish Independence is clearly nonsense.
Unfortunately for Labour, it is probably too late for them, they are dead in the water, sliding down below 20%. And the neutral view, likely to be closely tied to the Federalist/Devo-Max view which was once the most popular choice, is waning in popularity.
Before the First Referendum campaign, the middle ground was heavily favoured and while we don't yet have polling of the three way question we can see from such polling in Catalonia that the main casualty of denying an Independence movement is always the middle ground - support for a Federal solution in Spain has plummeted.
Also Blackfriars seemed to have been free yesterday (coin slots not working).
The prickly arrogance of Islam, which proclaims its superiority while manifestly being at the root of economic political and social failure, generates a uniquely toxic cognitive dissonance.
Heaven.
Although the little 'un paid no attention to any of them. I'm going to have to train him better ...
http://pamelagellercom.c.presscdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/is.jpeg
Cocaine, having sex with a dead pig, Crosby saying he's a "tosser" and "posh sh*t". What a book.
Cameron's base are little old ladies in the midlands, they won't be so excited by this.
They've fixed the wrong bit ...
Arriva Trains Wales
Cross Country
London Midland
Virgin Trains
Anyone think of a route served by more than four operators?
And why are so many Muslims, the massive, landslide, majority, not violent extremists? The problem is there are so many Muslims that there must be a enough extremists to be significant.
oh
The platform area in the 1980s was a real dump. Dark, smoky (from diesels), congested, and noisy. It was hardly a fitting entrance to what was, even then, a beautiful city in parts.
Mind you, I haven't been back there for about ten years or so, and last time was on a walk along the canal. How that area had changed for the better!
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Birmingham_New_Street_stn_building.JPG?uselang=en-gb
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Birmingham_New_Street_eastern_entrance.JPG?uselang=en-gb
Perhaps I was recovering from a stonking hangover at the time.
Does Ashcroft have the same contempt for Osborne?
Most importantly - from a betting perspective - which potential successor will get the good lords backing?
I think that the reason that Islamic extremism is such a problem is intrinsic to Islam. The Koran is believed to be the recitation of the word of Allah, so cannot be ignored when it says that killing unbelievers is fine and dandy, as is slave trading.
Ruining my ELBOW in the process! (though to be fair, the other pollsters weren't that great either!)