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Guardian front page via @suttonnick
Clegg offered to resign as Lib Dem leader in May 2014
http://t.co/gTWlPjXRRw pic.twitter.com/zTWhL3GspY
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Guardian front page via @suttonnick
Clegg offered to resign as Lib Dem leader in May 2014
http://t.co/gTWlPjXRRw pic.twitter.com/zTWhL3GspY
Comments
Best line: "Vince Cable’s reputation isn’t enhanced by this story."
It would be hard for his reputation to be diminished, in my mind at least.
If Clegg had resigned in 2014, it's interesting to consider what would have happened to the coalition.
It will take the LDs a long time to recover, and they certainly made plenty of mistakes in government, but who doesn't?
Charles Kennedy, the keeper of the social democratic flame, who died a few weeks after losing his Highlands seat, was keen to keep his distance from Clegg: a suggestion that Clegg might visit Kennedy’s constituency in Scotland was met with a curt two-word reply.
What a surprise. I've always regarded him as the Lib Dems and Coalitions pet fifth columnist.
"Meltdown has left many supporters feeling shellshocked. Recently, Clegg was approached by a distressed woman while shopping on his local high street in Putney. Speaking through tears, she told Clegg that his party did not deserve the battering it had received from the British electorate. Buoyed by the heartfelt sympathy from a wellwisher, Clegg told the woman not to worry and thanked her for supporting the Lib Dems – only to be told that she had voted Green.
“People were quite angry,” Coetzee said. “They wanted to dish out a slap on the wrist – and then found they’d cut the hand off and were quite horrified by what had happened. Then they went around saying: ‘Oh I’m terribly sorry, I’ve cut your hand off.’”"
But if the British electorate treat coalitions, whether in reality like the LD/Con one or the prospect of a Lab/SNP one as completely toxic, then no third party is going to want to enter one. It is going to be a real problem next hung parliament.
For me the key passage was about the coup in May 2014, where Oakshott was finally forced out. It all played out as Cable was on a trip to China and incommunicado:
I'm amazed that there wasn't either a new leader in place or a formal breakup of the coalition before the election, if only to allow some distance. The LDs spent most of the campaign talking negatively about what their government had achieved in office, yet wonder why they lost 6 out of 7 of their seats at the subsequent election.
Personally, I'm not sure ditching Clegg in 2014 would have made much difference to the end result.
How did he manage to 'sneak' in a bill that included a massive top down reorginisation of the NHS?
The Ashdown-Clegg relationship is very interesting; consistently very strong and almost father-son like.
This seems absolutely crucial for Clegg and his leadership, even dating right back to the formation of the coalition in 2010. Would coalition have even happened without Ashdown's strong endorsement?
It's a fascinating dynamic.
This is one of the big negatives of PR in my view because if you think a coalition was bad for discarded promises just wait till you see how a rainbow parliament would eliminate promises and effectively any point of manifestos.
The main issue I have with the Guardian is that they try to constantly pretend to have the moral high ground whilst actually occupying the same malaria-riddled swamp as the rest of the press.
It might have been possible for the Lib Dems to go to a more distant supply and confidence arrangement but the fact is that all of my adult life Lib Dems have been arguing that Coalitions, like on the continent, are the way to go. They supported electoral systems that made such a result more likely. It was their raison d'etre. That being the case walking away would have seemed deeply eccentric and simply demonstrated that they were not reliable partners.
So in reality Clegg had very little choice. Be careful what you wish for seems to sum it all up.
Mr. Moses, I quite agree.
A very interesting piece by the Guardian. Amused to read below (in this thread) of how Oakeshott got thrown overboard.
But, instead of privately fighting their corner around the cabinet table, there were far too many that acted as an opposition party within the government, leaking stories and briefing against their ministerial colleagues to hostile papers. – A worse ‘endorsement’ for future coalitions is hard to imagine.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/football/teams/uruguay/11697775/Uruguay-star-Edinson-Cavani-sent-off-for-slapping-Chile-defender-who-inserted-finger-into-his-anus.html
The constant bitching made it difficult for them to claim any credit.
For instance: surely there was far less infighting in the coalition government than there had been within the government during Brown's leadership? The same question could be posed about Major's governments as well.
It's a shame the Lib Dems were thumped for their maturity.
The gap between Greece and the troika appears very small. The counter-proposal from the troika largely accepts Tsipiras last proposal, with the following exceptions:
1. Pensions: Greece wanted to retirement age increase phased in to 2025. The troika wants it by 2022. Furthermore, the "solidarity grant" for the poorest pensioners was to be eliminated by 2020; the troika wants it to be by the end of 2017.
2. Taxes: in a rare moment of sanity, the troika has "vetoed" a lot of the tax rises on the basis they would negatively affect the Greek economy.
3. Other Spending Cuts: the Greeks have a bizarre system for subsidising diesel for farmers (that usually ends up being sold on the black market), which the troika wishes to abolish. It also wants cuts to the defence budget.
My forecast.
Pensions - the troika caves, so that Tsipiras can claim a big victory.
Taxes - there is general agreement
Other spending cuts - Greece agrees (the diesel subsidy is so abused its hard to see it continuing)
The big question is whether Tsipiras can sell SYRIZA on this, or whether SYRIZA will split. And if it does, what happens next... My money is on Greece calling a referendum on the deal, to happen next week, which will be passed 60:40. But any number of options are possible...
St Vincent of Textmessage.
I second antifrank's praise for Patrick Wintour.
"After he became leader in December 2007, Clegg had begun to shift the party away from the social democratic populism that had defined it throughout the 2000s. Clegg and a circle of like-minded MPs, including Chris Huhne, David Laws and Vince Cable, wanted to move the Lib Dems towards the centre group"
Vince Cable, like Janus was looking both ways. Was he looking to appease or appeal to those leftwing 2010 voters who were borrowed from Labour?
"After wrestling with his decision, Cable decided to remain, in part because he loved his department and wanted to protect it from cuts".
Vince appears to have preferred the trappings of power, the ministerial car, access to fawning media.
“Our vote was being seriously eroded by the Labour/Salmond thing,” Ashdown recalled. “There was a sort of hidden army of people who were so worried about Labour that they literally came out to vote for the first time.”
Ashdown is quite delusional or deliberately misleading to deflect blame. The reason ex LibDems deserted the party was not fear (of the SNP) but anger at the unnecessary betrayal on fees, NHS etc.
I think Ashdown, who was in charge of the General Election strategy and leads the party "elite", has been as harmful to the LibDems as Clegg. He would do the party a favour if he shut up.
Arguably it wasn't only in 2010 that they did so.
http://sunheadlines.blogspot.co.uk/2008/12/classics-its-paddy-pantsdown.html
If an Oakeshott invites you to dinner, make sure you have your poison taster with you.
You cannot build a career on a joke about Mr Bean - so failure all round there.
If you join an alliance, then support it or leave it - half-way measures and constant complaining just irritates all interested parties and none.
If you have been the recipient of the NOTA votes and then you form an alliance with a big boy, then you become one of the establishment and will lose the NOTA vote.
The junior and senior members of a c-o-a-l-i-t-i-o-n government respectively.
I mean it takes a special kind of dim to act that way.
Most of the key decisions affecting business will come from the Treasury anyway, get rid of the BIS bureaucrats and their red tape. Appoint a trade minister of the old school and give him a ministerial plane instead of a car - I'm sure Airbus will be happy to lend him one if they can put a couple of salesmen in it.
They went into coalition with the Cons. There were always going to be hitherto red-line issues that were on the table. According to Nick, this enabled them to gain elsewhere plus I think Cam & GO would have ensured some kind of quid pro quo for such a marquee policy u-turn.
I appreciate that the nuances of all this might be too much for us the electorate who prefer to see things in primary colours, but not being a LibDem supporter, I see no issue with it.
Otherwise, fine, stick with the principles and dissolve the coalition. As indeed it seems that plenty of LibDems came to prefer as time went on. Almost Life of Brian-esque in their irrelevant in-fighting.
Is there a possibility that these local councils will be closed down with fresh elections required, as in Tower Hamlets?
In a current parallel, it has been suggested that some Conservative proposals were designed to be negotiated away, and now they are stuck with them.
David Dimbleby presents topical debate from Southampton. On the panel are Conservative energy secretary Amber Rudd MP, Labour's shadow health secretary Andy Burnham MP, deputy chairman of Ukip Suzanne Evans, Greece's finance minister Yanis Varoufakis and editor of The Spectator Fraser Nelson.
http://www.libdemvoice.org/liberal-democrat-committee-appointments-in-the-lords-spotlight-the-talent-on-our-benches-46415.html
As for Paddy Ashdown maybe he should lead the way and give up his H of L seat.
Perhaps it was.
What was his move then? Go to Lab when Cons rightly would have said: "but you said you would go with the largest party", to say nothing of the backlash "held to ransome" media narrative it would have engendered. Or to flounce out back to the cold outside, have C&S, likely an election in Sep (this was of course pre-FTPA) at which the public would have been given an inkling of weak government, and would have reverted to Lab or Cons?
I don't think he did badly, tuition fees and all.
There are also arguments for finding a way of avoiding how some of these councils become one party states with no opposition voices to be heard. This has been shown over hundreds of years and hundreds of authorities to inevitably lead towards corruption.
Was there not also a row in Labour the other day about Burnham getting himself too much airtime in the context of the leadership election? He might also be replaced.
Not what being a political party who seeks to make the world a better place is all about. Plus (I have no idea) did the overwhelming approval of the coalition by LD members come after the coalition talks, wherein the tuition fee policy was amended?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RY-WBBKDQJg#t=3m05s
As she notes she receives hundreds of abusive tweets everyday, I've seen some of these tweets which are so vile that I don't think any news paper would print them, she chooses to ignore these as this is the price which must be paid for politicians and public figures who want to use social media to further their careers and party messaging.
I fear that the Cyberyes v Cyberno battle during the EU REF is going to make the Cybernat v Cyberunionist look like a minor skirmish.
and then shut up about it!
Cable being the minister introducing the bill really didn't do them any favours, they should have let Business be run by a Conservative at least until the fees bill passed.
That QT panel is incredible. One suspects the Greek chap may send someone else.
The much-touted good relations between Nick Clegg, Danny Alexander, David Cameron and George Osborne worked exclusively to the benefit of the Conservatives. They were supposed to be running a government, not a social club.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Browne_Review
http://labourlist.org/2015/06/how-will-the-leadership-race-finish-four-paths-to-victory/
http://labourlist.org/2015/06/liz-kendall-pledges-to-make-britain-a-living-wage-society/
http://labourlist.org/2015/06/jeremy-corbyn-right-to-buy-should-be-extended-to-private-tenants/
This notion that the Lib Dems had no choice but to sign up with the Cons on the appalling terms that they did is entirely fanciful.
http://www.libdemvoice.org/opinion-the-clegg-catastrophe-what-the-guardian-didnt-mention-46551.html#utm_source=tweet&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=twitter
The Lib Dems basically seemed to ask for nothing to become part of the government, no wonder Hague said he had destroyed the Liberals.
@politicshome: Speaker Bercow has granted an Urgent Question on child poverty at 1030
@politicshome: Child poverty 'at lowest level since 1980s', government says http://t.co/6Iahqj1WT8 http://t.co/m46AchozFM
The economic situation in 2010 was OK. It wasn't great, it wasn't good, it was fine. The notion that the UK was teetering on some kind of apocalyptic precipice is, once again, fanciful and used as justification for the LDs destroying themselves
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/mar/01/lib-dem-ed-davey-labour-pledge-cut-tuition-fees-stupid
So from proposing to abolish fees, they've labelled a policy to reduce them as stupid...
Right oh - As Tissue Price points out, they could have abstained on that proposal and voted in favour !
Regardless of the merits of the policy, their manouvres and U-turns on tuition fees were a sight to behold.
They managed to get the worst of both worlds.
So in retrospect I think the Cons jumped too quickly and yes, the LDs played it badly perhaps even on tuition fees, but they got into govt, which presumably is the aim of every political party and, perhaps analagously to the Cons, they didn't realise how many cards they held - but then they after all got their AV referendum and many other things besides.
Coming back to topic, although high profile, I don't think that solitary u-turn was justification for the shellacking they and Nick got (although as a Cons I am delighted).