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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tories close the gap in Survation-Mirror poll to just 1

Two things stand out with the Survation-Mirror poll that’s just been released. Firstly the Tories have almost closed the gap with a pollster that had generally been giving it lower shares.
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I is heart broken and Ed's disaster over Vat and NI won't be on tomorrow's Front Pages
@jimwaterson: (For the baffled Westminster people asking, yes Zayn is leaving One Direction. No, your policy speech is not getting in the tabs tomorrow.)
This is like the ultimate day to bury bad news... forget 9/11 (in bad taste I know)...
Lab 34
Con 30
UKIP 17
LD 10
Grn 3
It was like watching Spurs fail to turn up against Man U....
I trust the Queen is being kept informed of events and the armed forces are on alert for possible foreign intervention.
LAB candidate 32% (-1); CON candidate 32% (+3); UKIP candidate 17% (-2); LD candidate 9% (-1); SNP candidate 5% (NC); GRE candidate 4% (+1); another candidate 1% (+1)
PeterC said:
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Absolutely. If parliament is seriously deadlocked then Lab/Con would have to sink their differences in one guise or another so that Salmond is given no opportunity to work his mischief. There will be enough Labour MPs who will not vote themselves into the trap of becoming dependent on the SNP.
They don't like the thought of democracy in action do they, cannot have those uppity Scots being able to influence anything , they should know their place.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M7EOOOuYIoI
Going to be more than one "Wells" this time round...
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/nancy-cameron-david-camerons-daughter-goes-on-hunger-strike-until-jeremy-clarkson-is-reinstated-on-top-gear-10129318.html
The PM's daughter on hunger strike over Top Gear (for 5 minutes).
http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Full-Mirror-March-Tables.pdf
Guido - "No-one believes that."
The stop-motion of TRex and a tyrannosaurus are just epically good. From 1969. The dinosaur fight.https://youtube.com/watch?v=fIDJ-Y-_Dxs
OGH has always pointed to the uptick that the LDs get when their candidate is prompted..that is falling back with the return of the 2 party battle.
Doubt OGH will acknowledge this though.
The rise was 2.5% (on 117.5%) so for it to have cost £1800, one would have had to spend (117.5/2.5)*1800/4 = £21,150 each year on VATable items.
Some average family there...
Tactical voting could well dictate the result of the three border seats and maybe a couple of Edinburgh seats. All in favour of the SNP.
And then you realise that 8% represents a decent poll for them. Yes they are in trouble !
25/03/2015 14:40
One of Farage's bully mob was the winner of a 2012 Diversity Award breitbart.com/london/2015/03…
But good news everyone, the X-Files is back, so that's something to replace Top Gear for a while.
http://www.ew.com/article/2015/03/24/x-files-return
Wee Dougie got in a total mess over this poster. Showing a load of non-VATable items and the sums not adding up.
https://fullfact.org/economy/labour_election_poster_vat_tax-32246
Con 18.9 %
Lab 13.3 %
LD. 15.2 %
SNP 47.4 %
Hmmm dustbin time methinks
.@GuidoFawkes rightly points out Mark Thompson bit a colleague + ended up becoming BBC DG. That too was 'unprovoked' http://www.standard.co.uk/news/the-day-i-was-bitten-by-bbc-boss-7086208.html …
James Delingpole (@JamesDelingpole)
25/03/2015 15:59
"Stab Nigel Farage" says Noel Fielding. He's SUCH a card! breitbart.com/london/2015/03…
Jason Beattie (@JBeattieMirror)
25/03/2015 16:06
Poll @DailyMirror by @Survation on who should be next Tory leader: Boris Johnson 36%, Osborne 14%, May 13.5% and Javid 5.5%
Now Mark about Jimmy Savile....
"Dominic Casciani @BBCDomC 6m6 minutes ago
MPs 'monitored by Scotland Yard during 1990s' - full story of latest claims about undercover policing: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-32044580 …"
Timing is perfect, try and throw mud, classic look hamster, werewolf stuff. Are the BBC in the shit again?
So gird your loins lefties. In Nick We Trust.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/32050898
Red Bull's quite good at influencing people, but still struggling at making friends.
Given the tightness of the race I do like see shares down to a decimal point. Often rounding can give distorted view.
I'm in St Paul de Vence for dinner tonight, but taking a chairman's flight back so have a free morning in Nice
Two-man acts are uncommon to begin with, but it always struck me as plain odd that there were so many of the above:
Sparks
Soft Cell
Yazoo
Erasure
Communards
Pet Shop Boys
Hall and Oates
Red Box
Savage Garden
etc
Those switching figures...
'Youll be thanking me when Farage isn't in the debates' you said when you welched
All other pollsters have different forms of leader ratings but not approval ones.
465,471 * .5
412,855 * .2 +
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806k new SNP voters that voted last time that lot implies.
If their own retention is 95% say then that implies they are getting half the vote.
"You around for breakfast/coffee tomorrow?"
What a shame. I'm not there. I was booked to be this week but had to cancel. Nothing I would have liked more than breakfast on the terrace of the Negresco.
Please withdraw
I suspect a couple of tartan Tories might have joined the real Tories but it's just a hunch.
This one is but the Local Hero ones were a series. They ended up using an 'Officer and a Gentleman'
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWG43VGvuCc&feature=youtu.beyn
A long shot but your wife didn't spend two weeks at the Institute de francais in Villefranche ever?
Labour wins easily on a tie. And there are just 6 weeks to go.
Sorry welching implies you knocked which you didn't, you ran around making excuses not to take a bet you said was certain to lose while massively giving it the big one
A pre emptor for Cameron's behaviour re the debates
Just admit you got it wrong and I'll never mention it again
And that's why Labour needed him rather than the idiot Darling.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VIIFcBfnSJE&feature=youtu.be