politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tories close the gap in Survation-Mirror poll to just 1
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tories close the gap in Survation-Mirror poll to just 1%
Two things stand out with the Survation-Mirror poll that’s just been released. Firstly the Tories have almost closed the gap with a pollster that had generally been giving it lower shares.
Comments
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Zayn has left one direction.
I is heart broken and Ed's disaster over Vat and NI won't be on tomorrow's Front Pages
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Survation tables... must have Survation tables...0
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Not a patch on Depeche Mode or any other 1980s synthpop band!TheScreamingEagles said:Zayn has left one direction.
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OGH hedges his bets by having a thread that's not doom and gloom for the Tories.0
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Scott_P said:
@jimwaterson: (For the baffled Westminster people asking, yes Zayn is leaving One Direction. No, your policy speech is not getting in the tabs tomorrow.)
This is like the ultimate day to bury bad news... forget 9/11 (in bad taste I know)...0 -
Survation's other poll in the last week was for the Mail on Sunday
Lab 34
Con 30
UKIP 17
LD 10
Grn 30 -
Another Con lead - that should jerk your elbow.Sunil_Prasannan said:Survation tables... must have Survation tables...
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Someone needs to set up some helplines for teenager girls and middle aged guys pronto.0
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Foxy Knox verdict still to come - its bumper Wednesday.Slackbladder said:Scott_P said:
@jimwaterson: (For the baffled Westminster people asking, yes Zayn is leaving One Direction. No, your policy speech is not getting in the tabs tomorrow.)
This is like the ultimate day to bury bad news... forget 9/11 (in bad taste I know)...0 -
If only he had waited 1 day, he could have knocked "the debate" off tooSlackbladder said:Scott_P said:
@jimwaterson: (For the baffled Westminster people asking, yes Zayn is leaving One Direction. No, your policy speech is not getting in the tabs tomorrow.)
This is like the ultimate day to bury bad news...0 -
i say, I've now watched PMQs.
It was like watching Spurs fail to turn up against Man U....0 -
No point dissolving Parliament really, "the meeja" won't be interested in an election, only Zayn.TheScreamingEagles said:Zayn has left one direction.
I is heart broken and Ed's disaster over Vat and NI won't be on tomorrow's Front Pages
I trust the Queen is being kept informed of events and the armed forces are on alert for possible foreign intervention.
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Surely this'll last a week, if not till May.Scott_P said:
If only he had waited 1 day, he could have knocked "the debate" off tooSlackbladder said:Scott_P said:
@jimwaterson: (For the baffled Westminster people asking, yes Zayn is leaving One Direction. No, your policy speech is not getting in the tabs tomorrow.)
This is like the ultimate day to bury bad news...0 -
'Secondly, and perhaps not unrelated, UKIP is down to...'0
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Survation also ask a secondary voting intention question: “The General Election is on 7 May 2015. Thinking specifically about your constituency and the parties and candidates likely to be in contention, how do you think you will vote on 7 May” Results to that question prompt are (with change in brackets since 24th February 2015):
LAB candidate 32% (-1); CON candidate 32% (+3); UKIP candidate 17% (-2); LD candidate 9% (-1); SNP candidate 5% (NC); GRE candidate 4% (+1); another candidate 1% (+1)
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Wand Erection member leaving (and possible breakup) and Top Gear gang breaking up...forget trying to get anything else in the news.0
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FPT:
PeterC said:
» show previous quotes
Absolutely. If parliament is seriously deadlocked then Lab/Con would have to sink their differences in one guise or another so that Salmond is given no opportunity to work his mischief. There will be enough Labour MPs who will not vote themselves into the trap of becoming dependent on the SNP.
They don't like the thought of democracy in action do they, cannot have those uppity Scots being able to influence anything , they should know their place.0 -
Public and press alike can't get enough of that tawdry tale.TGOHF said:
Foxy Knox verdict still to come - its bumper Wednesday.Slackbladder said:Scott_P said:
@jimwaterson: (For the baffled Westminster people asking, yes Zayn is leaving One Direction. No, your policy speech is not getting in the tabs tomorrow.)
This is like the ultimate day to bury bad news... forget 9/11 (in bad taste I know)...0 -
But I need those tables to update the sample totals!TGOHF said:
Another Con lead - that should jerk your elbow.Sunil_Prasannan said:Survation tables... must have Survation tables...
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Listen sunshine. I report the numbers as they come and if you don't like it then you don't have to be come here.steve_garner said:OGH hedges his bets by having a thread that's not doom and gloom for the Tories.
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Seeing that 4 turn to 5% for the Nats is nice.TheScreamingEagles said:Survation also ask a secondary voting intention question: “The General Election is on 7 May 2015. Thinking specifically about your constituency and the parties and candidates likely to be in contention, how do you think you will vote on 7 May” Results to that question prompt are (with change in brackets since 24th February 2015):
LAB candidate 32% (-1); CON candidate 32% (+3); UKIP candidate 17% (-2); LD candidate 9% (-1); SNP candidate 5% (NC); GRE candidate 4% (+1); another candidate 1% (+1)0 -
Horrifyingmalcolmg said:FPT:
PeterC said:
» show previous quotes
Absolutely. If parliament is seriously deadlocked then Lab/Con would have to sink their differences in one guise or another so that Salmond is given no opportunity to work his mischief. There will be enough Labour MPs who will not vote themselves into the trap of becoming dependent on the SNP.
They don't like the thought of democracy in action do they, cannot have those uppity Scots being able to influence anything , they should know their place.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M7EOOOuYIoI0 -
UKIP will be VERY relevant in the seat count arithmetic.TGOHF said:
Peak kipper gags used to be funny - when there was a chance that they would be relevant in the seat count arithmetic..isam said:'Secondly, and perhaps not unrelated, UKIP is down to...'
Going to be more than one "Wells" this time round...0 -
This is getting silly.FrancisUrquhart said:Wand Erection member leaving (and possible breakup) and Top Gear gang breaking up...forget trying to get anything else in the news.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/nancy-cameron-david-camerons-daughter-goes-on-hunger-strike-until-jeremy-clarkson-is-reinstated-on-top-gear-10129318.html
The PM's daughter on hunger strike over Top Gear (for 5 minutes).
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Sunil, Survation data tables hereSunil_Prasannan said:
But I need those tables to update the sample totals!TGOHF said:
Another Con lead - that should jerk your elbow.Sunil_Prasannan said:Survation tables... must have Survation tables...
http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Full-Mirror-March-Tables.pdf0 -
Hello Mike. I've no problem with the accuracy of your reporting of the numbers. I can't help feeling that your interpretation of them is sometimes a little unbalanced. It's clear I'm far from being the only one with that view. However, it's your site and great fun too.MikeSmithson said:
Listen sunshine. I report the numbers as they come and if you don't like it then you don't have to be come here.steve_garner said:OGH hedges his bets by having a thread that's not doom and gloom for the Tories.
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BBC News Presenter "The BBC is a broad church and can represent a wide range of views".
Guido - "No-one believes that."0 -
Given recent revelations, I'm not sure how comfortable I would be for any government initiative involving middle aged guys and teenager girls.Slackbladder said:Someone needs to set up some helplines for teenager girls and middle aged guys pronto.
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Compared to the last Survation poll, I think this is Con +2%, Lab -1%, UKIP +1%, Lib Dem -2%0
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Look at the region by region VI split on the 10 out of 10.TheScreamingEagles said:
Sunil, Survation data tables hereSunil_Prasannan said:
But I need those tables to update the sample totals!TGOHF said:
Another Con lead - that should jerk your elbow.Sunil_Prasannan said:Survation tables... must have Survation tables...
http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Full-Mirror-March-Tables.pdf0 -
Totally OT - I watched The Valley of Gwangi on BBC2 last Saturday morning. Where has the art of trick riding gone? I loved Westerns and all that went along with it.
The stop-motion of TRex and a tyrannosaurus are just epically good. From 1969. The dinosaur fight.https://youtube.com/watch?v=fIDJ-Y-_Dxs0 -
This Survation looks a stinker for the LDs.
OGH has always pointed to the uptick that the LDs get when their candidate is prompted..that is falling back with the return of the 2 party battle.
Doubt OGH will acknowledge this though.0 -
Just seen the Lab line that the VAT rise has cost the average family £1800 over the last four years.
The rise was 2.5% (on 117.5%) so for it to have cost £1800, one would have had to spend (117.5/2.5)*1800/4 = £21,150 each year on VATable items.
Some average family there...
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The Unionist dream of any tactical voting working against the SNP is one of the most bizarre hopes they cling on to.Pulpstar said:
Seeing that 4 turn to 5% for the Nats is nice.TheScreamingEagles said:Survation also ask a secondary voting intention question: “The General Election is on 7 May 2015. Thinking specifically about your constituency and the parties and candidates likely to be in contention, how do you think you will vote on 7 May” Results to that question prompt are (with change in brackets since 24th February 2015):
LAB candidate 32% (-1); CON candidate 32% (+3); UKIP candidate 17% (-2); LD candidate 9% (-1); SNP candidate 5% (NC); GRE candidate 4% (+1); another candidate 1% (+1)
Tactical voting could well dictate the result of the three border seats and maybe a couple of Edinburgh seats. All in favour of the SNP.0 -
I thought it looked perfectly normal for the Lib Dems tbh - they aren't being beaten by the Nats or Greens in this poll so quite good actually.timmo said:This Survation looks a stinker for the LDs.
OGH has always pointed to the uptick that the LDs get when their candidate is prompted..that is falling back with the return of the 2 party battle.
Doubt OGH will acknowledge this though.
And then you realise that 8% represents a decent poll for them. Yes they are in trouble !0 -
James Delingpole (@JamesDelingpole)
25/03/2015 14:40
One of Farage's bully mob was the winner of a 2012 Diversity Award breitbart.com/london/2015/03…
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Of course they are a broad church, as long as it is a quiz show.Dair said:BBC News Presenter "The BBC is a broad church and can represent a wide range of views".
Guido - "No-one believes that."
But good news everyone, the X-Files is back, so that's something to replace Top Gear for a while.
http://www.ew.com/article/2015/03/24/x-files-return0 -
New kitchens aren't cheap, particularly when you're refitting at least two.JonnyJimmy said:Just seen the Lab line that the VAT rise has cost the average family £1800 over the last four years.
The rise was 2.5% (on 117.5%) so for it to have cost £1800, one would have had to spend (117.5/2.5)*1800/4 = £21,150 each year on VATable items.
Some average family there...0 -
Labour tried this before and the sums didn't add up in a similar way then...spending £20k a year on VATable items might be normal for Ed Miliband, but not for most people.JonnyJimmy said:Just seen the Lab line that the VAT rise has cost the average family £1800 over the last four years.
The rise was 2.5% (on 117.5%) so for it to have cost £1800, one would have had to spend (117.5/2.5)*1800/4 = £21,150 each year on VATable items.
Some average family there...
Wee Dougie got in a total mess over this poster. Showing a load of non-VATable items and the sums not adding up.
https://fullfact.org/economy/labour_election_poster_vat_tax-322460 -
I'm hopeful of the Greens not putting in too much effort where it could cost SNP the seat.Dair said:
The Unionist dream of any tactical voting working against the SNP is one of the most bizarre hopes they cling on to.Pulpstar said:
Seeing that 4 turn to 5% for the Nats is nice.TheScreamingEagles said:Survation also ask a secondary voting intention question: “The General Election is on 7 May 2015. Thinking specifically about your constituency and the parties and candidates likely to be in contention, how do you think you will vote on 7 May” Results to that question prompt are (with change in brackets since 24th February 2015):
LAB candidate 32% (-1); CON candidate 32% (+3); UKIP candidate 17% (-2); LD candidate 9% (-1); SNP candidate 5% (NC); GRE candidate 4% (+1); another candidate 1% (+1)
Tactical voting could well dictate the result of the three border seats and maybe a couple of Edinburgh seats. All in favour of the SNP.0 -
For the lovers of Scottish sub samples - Page 12TheScreamingEagles said:
Sunil, Survation data tables hereSunil_Prasannan said:
But I need those tables to update the sample totals!TGOHF said:
Another Con lead - that should jerk your elbow.Sunil_Prasannan said:Survation tables... must have Survation tables...
http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Full-Mirror-March-Tables.pdf
Con 18.9 %
Lab 13.3 %
LD. 15.2 %
SNP 47.4 %
Hmmm dustbin time methinks
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Paul Waugh @paulwaugh 2m2 minutes ago
.@GuidoFawkes rightly points out Mark Thompson bit a colleague + ended up becoming BBC DG. That too was 'unprovoked' http://www.standard.co.uk/news/the-day-i-was-bitten-by-bbc-boss-7086208.html …
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Own up, which one of you left wing maniacs pretending to be Tories on here is Noel Fielding?
James Delingpole (@JamesDelingpole)
25/03/2015 15:59
"Stab Nigel Farage" says Noel Fielding. He's SUCH a card! breitbart.com/london/2015/03…
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Yeah. LibDems in Scotland on 15.2%. Clearly cuckoo.....MarkSenior said:
For the lovers of Scottish sub samples - Page 12TheScreamingEagles said:
Sunil, Survation data tables hereSunil_Prasannan said:
But I need those tables to update the sample totals!TGOHF said:
Another Con lead - that should jerk your elbow.Sunil_Prasannan said:Survation tables... must have Survation tables...
http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Full-Mirror-March-Tables.pdf
Con 18.9 %
Lab 13.3 %
LD. 15.2 %
SNP 47.4 %
Hmmm dustbin time methinks0 -
It will be Boris
Jason Beattie (@JBeattieMirror)
25/03/2015 16:06
Poll @DailyMirror by @Survation on who should be next Tory leader: Boris Johnson 36%, Osborne 14%, May 13.5% and Javid 5.5%
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Also...the guy who got assaulted got punished by being sent to a dangerous country. You couldn't make it up. Oh wait, how many senior BBC executives got the sack over Jimmy Savile and other scandals...where as the people trying to expose it, got the heave ho.dr_spyn said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh 2m2 minutes ago
.@GuidoFawkes rightly points out Mark Thompson bit a colleague + ended up becoming BBC DG. That too was 'unprovoked' http://www.standard.co.uk/news/the-day-i-was-bitten-by-bbc-boss-7086208.html …
Now Mark about Jimmy Savile....0 -
but did he do it in ethnically neutral, eco-sustainable, female friendly, liberal, non-gender-stereotypical manner?dr_spyn said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh 2m2 minutes ago
.@GuidoFawkes rightly points out Mark Thompson bit a colleague + ended up becoming BBC DG. That too was 'unprovoked' http://www.standard.co.uk/news/the-day-i-was-bitten-by-bbc-boss-7086208.html …0 -
Forgive my cynicism - but this made me wonder - how long has the BBC been sitting on this story.FrancisUrquhart said:
Now Mark about Jimmy Savile....dr_spyn said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh 2m2 minutes ago
.@GuidoFawkes rightly points out Mark Thompson bit a colleague + ended up becoming BBC DG. That too was 'unprovoked' http://www.standard.co.uk/news/the-day-i-was-bitten-by-bbc-boss-7086208.html …
Also...the guy who got assaulted got punished by being sent to a dangerous country. You couldn't make it up.
"Dominic Casciani @BBCDomC 6m6 minutes ago
MPs 'monitored by Scotland Yard during 1990s' - full story of latest claims about undercover policing: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-32044580 …"
Timing is perfect, try and throw mud, classic look hamster, werewolf stuff. Are the BBC in the shit again?0 -
The Lib-Lab split is clearly wrong indeed. Must have been phoning Highlands and islands.MarqueeMark said:
Yeah. LibDems in Scotland on 15.2%. Clearly cuckoo.....MarkSenior said:
For the lovers of Scottish sub samples - Page 12TheScreamingEagles said:
Sunil, Survation data tables hereSunil_Prasannan said:
But I need those tables to update the sample totals!TGOHF said:
Another Con lead - that should jerk your elbow.Sunil_Prasannan said:Survation tables... must have Survation tables...
http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Full-Mirror-March-Tables.pdf
Con 18.9 %
Lab 13.3 %
LD. 15.2 %
SNP 47.4 %
Hmmm dustbin time methinks0 -
That's incredible. The BBC have no leg to stand on for kicking out Clarkson on a punch but promoting someone after a bite. A bite is a lot worse.dr_spyn said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh 2m2 minutes ago
.@GuidoFawkes rightly points out Mark Thompson bit a colleague + ended up becoming BBC DG. That too was 'unprovoked' http://www.standard.co.uk/news/the-day-i-was-bitten-by-bbc-boss-7086208.html …0 -
Would need trip to A and E for a jab afterwards?JEO said:
That's incredible. The BBC have no leg to stand on for kicking out Clarkson on a punch but promoting someone after a bite. A bite is a lot worse.dr_spyn said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh 2m2 minutes ago
.@GuidoFawkes rightly points out Mark Thompson bit a colleague + ended up becoming BBC DG. That too was 'unprovoked' http://www.standard.co.uk/news/the-day-i-was-bitten-by-bbc-boss-7086208.html …
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Everyone seems to be waiting uneasily for the Tories to pull ahead. The antidote to that slightly depressing thought is Nick P. Who better to judge the state of play than Nick an ex and future MP who's been there and done it....
So gird your loins lefties. In Nick We Trust.
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I haven't bitten someone since I was 4yrs old!JEO said:
That's incredible. The BBC have no leg to stand on for kicking out Clarkson on a punch but promoting someone after a bite. A bite is a lot worse.dr_spyn said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh 2m2 minutes ago
.@GuidoFawkes rightly points out Mark Thompson bit a colleague + ended up becoming BBC DG. That too was 'unprovoked' http://www.standard.co.uk/news/the-day-i-was-bitten-by-bbc-boss-7086208.html …0 -
Saville probably had a nurse locked up in his camper van in the car park at TVC who could have dressed the wound.dr_spyn said:
Would need trip to A and E for a jab afterwards?JEO said:
That's incredible. The BBC have no leg to stand on for kicking out Clarkson on a punch but promoting someone after a bite. A bite is a lot worse.dr_spyn said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh 2m2 minutes ago
.@GuidoFawkes rightly points out Mark Thompson bit a colleague + ended up becoming BBC DG. That too was 'unprovoked' http://www.standard.co.uk/news/the-day-i-was-bitten-by-bbc-boss-7086208.html …0 -
Tories need to be quite a way ahead before Nick doesn't get back in. With his AB cohort of determined 2010 Lib Dems he is well on his way.Roger said:Everyone seems to be waiting uneasily for the Tories to pull ahead. The antidote to that slightly depressing thought is Nick P. Who better to judge the state of play than Nick an ex and future MP who's been there and done it....
So gird your loins lefties. In Nick We Trust.0 -
So when it is rounded as usual, Lab and Con are level.....MikeSmithson said:0 -
F1: Renault accuse Adrian Newey of lying:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/32050898
Red Bull's quite good at influencing people, but still struggling at making friends.0 -
That can't have been longer ago than 1988 though, surely?Plato said:
I haven't bitten someone since I was 4yrs old!
JEO said:
That's incredible. The BBC have no leg to stand on for kicking out Clarkson on a punch but promoting someone after a bite. A bite is a lot worse.dr_spyn said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh 2m2 minutes ago
.@GuidoFawkes rightly points out Mark Thompson bit a colleague + ended up becoming BBC DG. That too was 'unprovoked' http://www.standard.co.uk/news/the-day-i-was-bitten-by-bbc-boss-7086208.html …0 -
Correct.MarqueeMark said:
So when it is rounded as usual, Lab and Con are level.....MikeSmithson said:
Given the tightness of the race I do like see shares down to a decimal point. Often rounding can give distorted view.
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LOL Only in leap years.OblitusSumMe said:
That can't have been longer ago than 1988 though, surely?
Plato said:I haven't bitten someone since I was 4yrs old!
JEO said:
That's incredible. The BBC have no leg to stand on for kicking out Clarkson on a punch but promoting someone after a bite. A bite is a lot worse.dr_spyn said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh 2m2 minutes ago
.@GuidoFawkes rightly points out Mark Thompson bit a colleague + ended up becoming BBC DG. That too was 'unprovoked' http://www.standard.co.uk/news/the-day-i-was-bitten-by-bbc-boss-7086208.html …0 -
It's tighter than a duck's arse at the moment.MarqueeMark said:
So when it is rounded as usual, Lab and Con are level.....MikeSmithson said:0 -
Yesterday Cameron was savaged by pensioners, today Bullingdon man was in full braying mode helped by a negligent speaker and cohorts of Tory patsies. However everyone is entitled to a swansong bye bye Cameron, going, going, soon to be gone.0
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@CCHQPress: .@Ed_Miliband's only road to power is a SNP deal-Alex Salmond's named his price & taxpayers will foot the bill #chaos http://t.co/lgM0FEMfpG0
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I'm not totally convinced. Anna Soubry is quite appealing and I'd like to see her remain as an MP. Thankfully I don't vote in Broxtowe so I don't have to make that choice.Pulpstar said:
Tories need to be quite a way ahead before Nick doesn't get back in. With his AB cohort of determined 2010 Lib Dems he is well on his way.Roger said:Everyone seems to be waiting uneasily for the Tories to pull ahead. The antidote to that slightly depressing thought is Nick P. Who better to judge the state of play than Nick an ex and future MP who's been there and done it....
So gird your loins lefties. In Nick We Trust.
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You around for breakfast/coffee tomorrow?Roger said:Everyone seems to be waiting uneasily for the Tories to pull ahead. The antidote to that slightly depressing thought is Nick P. Who better to judge the state of play than Nick an ex and future MP who's been there and done it....
So gird your loins lefties. In Nick We Trust.
I'm in St Paul de Vence for dinner tonight, but taking a chairman's flight back so have a free morning in Nice0 -
When I saw who you were copying and pasting I thought it might say 'Ed Miliband picks his nose and eats it'#smellsScott_P said:@CCHQPress: .@Ed_Miliband's only road to power is a SNP deal-Alex Salmond's named his price & taxpayers will foot the bill #chaos http://t.co/lgM0FEMfpG
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Can anyone shed any light on why there have been so many synthpop acts that consisted of two individuals of whom one or both were gay men?Sunil_Prasannan said:
Not a patch on Depeche Mode or any other 1980s synthpop band!TheScreamingEagles said:Zayn has left one direction.
Two-man acts are uncommon to begin with, but it always struck me as plain odd that there were so many of the above:
Sparks
Soft Cell
Yazoo
Erasure
Communards
Pet Shop Boys
Hall and Oates
Red Box
Savage Garden
etc
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And Ed's approval ratings is still utterly terrible with most other pollsters.MikeSmithson said:0 -
Hall and Oates?Bond_James_Bond said:
Can anyone shed any light on why there have been so many synthpop acts that consisted of two individuals of whom one or both were gay men?Sunil_Prasannan said:
Not a patch on Depeche Mode or any other 1980s synthpop band!TheScreamingEagles said:Zayn has left one direction.
Two-man acts are uncommon to begin with, but it always struck me as plain odd that there were so many of the above:
Sparks
Soft Cell
Yazoo
Erasure
Communards
Pet Shop Boys
Hall and Oates
Red Box
Savage Garden
etc0 -
Table 18: Tories more trusted with the NHS than Labour by the over 55s.0
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Bond_James_Bond said:
Yazoo?Sunil_Prasannan said:
Two-man acts are uncommon to begin with, but it always struck me as plain odd that there were so many of the above:TheScreamingEagles said:Zayn has left one direction.
Sparks
Soft Cell
Yazoo
Erasure
Communards
Pet Shop Boys
Hall and Oates
Red Box
Savage Garden
etc
A bit harsh Mr Bond - Alison Moyet may have been a big girl, but she was all woman.
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@LabourList: Nearly three-fifths of voters would be "dismayed" by a Labour/SNP deal, poll finds http://labli.st/1OyXRoi0
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This poll question 8,271 voters, 633 of whom were in Scotland. They found that half of former Lib Dem voters and 44% Labour look like they’re switching to the SNP, while the same is true for 1/5 of former Conservatives.
Those switching figures...0 -
Before I forget, need to thank Ed for not only falling into the Tory VAT elephant trap, but for paying out 5/2 on the Betfair question market0
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When do I have to thank you re Farage not appearing in a debate?Scott_P said:Before I forget, need to thank Ed for not only falling into the Tory VAT elephant trap, but for paying out 5/2 on the Betfair question market
'Youll be thanking me when Farage isn't in the debates' you said when you welched0 -
It's relatively unspooky. If crossover is the transition from sustained, day in-day out Lab leads to sustained, day in-day out Con leads, it's what we would rather expect to see in the transition period. All will be clear in hindsight.Pulpstar said:
It's tighter than a duck's arse at the moment.MarqueeMark said:
So when it is rounded as usual, Lab and Con are level.....MikeSmithson said:
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The ONLY other pollster that does approval ratings is Opinium and there has been some movement there over the past few weeks. Cameron is positive there as wellFrancisUrquhart said:
And Ed's approval ratings is still utterly terrible with most other pollsters.MikeSmithson said:
All other pollsters have different forms of leader ratings but not approval ones.
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1,035,528 * 0.44
465,471 * .5
412,855 * .2 +
---------------
806k new SNP voters that voted last time that lot implies.
If their own retention is 95% say then that implies they are getting half the vote.
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Wasn't at full moon was it?Plato said:I haven't bitten someone since I was 4yrs old!
JEO said:
That's incredible. The BBC have no leg to stand on for kicking out Clarkson on a punch but promoting someone after a bite. A bite is a lot worse.dr_spyn said:Paul Waugh @paulwaugh 2m2 minutes ago
.@GuidoFawkes rightly points out Mark Thompson bit a colleague + ended up becoming BBC DG. That too was 'unprovoked' http://www.standard.co.uk/news/the-day-i-was-bitten-by-bbc-boss-7086208.html …0 -
Charles
"You around for breakfast/coffee tomorrow?"
What a shame. I'm not there. I was booked to be this week but had to cancel. Nothing I would have liked more than breakfast on the terrace of the Negresco.
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The trend is all going one way and its not to labour. After today and with the SNP influence on labour highlighted daily the odds on a small conservative majority will show in the betting shortlyroserees64 said:Yesterday Cameron was savaged by pensioners, today Bullingdon man was in full braying mode helped by a negligent speaker and cohorts of Tory patsies. However everyone is entitled to a swansong bye bye Cameron, going, going, soon to be gone.
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Are figures to 1dp meaningful though when the MoE is ±3%?MikeSmithson said:
Correct.MarqueeMark said:
So when it is rounded as usual, Lab and Con are level.....MikeSmithson said:
Given the tightness of the race I do like see shares down to a decimal point. Often rounding can give distorted view.0 -
This past fortnight has seen the phone pollsters (ICM, Ashcroft Comres) moving back from fairly good CON positions while the online firms have moved from LAB leads.Ishmael_X said:
It's relatively unspooky. If crossover is the transition from sustained, day in-day out Lab leads to sustained, day in-day out Con leads, it's what we would rather expect to see in the transition period. All will be clear in hindsight.Pulpstar said:
It's tighter than a duck's arse at the moment.MarqueeMark said:
So when it is rounded as usual, Lab and Con are level.....MikeSmithson said:
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Might sound like a daft question - but is the SNP retaining all it's vote from last time ?
I suspect a couple of tartan Tories might have joined the real Tories but it's just a hunch.0 -
Dr Spyn
This one is but the Local Hero ones were a series. They ended up using an 'Officer and a Gentleman'
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWG43VGvuCc&feature=youtu.beyn0 -
No problem - in this part of the world 4 or 5 times a year (usually day trips) but will try to give you more notice next time!Roger said:Charles
"You around for breakfast/coffee tomorrow?"
What a shame. I'm not there. I was booked to be this week but had to cancel. Nothing I would have liked more than breakfast on the terrace of the Negresco.0 -
Charles
A long shot but your wife didn't spend two weeks at the Institute de francais in Villefranche ever?0 -
Yep. It's a tie. It's been a tie for months, occasionally with one or the other pulling fractionally ahead, then falling back. All kinds of game-winning wheezes and media offensives have already happened, with no visible effect.Roger said:Everyone seems to be waiting uneasily for the Tories to pull ahead. The antidote to that slightly depressing thought is Nick P. Who better to judge the state of play than Nick an ex and future MP who's been there and done it....
So gird your loins lefties. In Nick We Trust.
Labour wins easily on a tie. And there are just 6 weeks to go.
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Oooh fierce!!!Scott_P said:
That's a strong allegation to hurl on a betting site, and completely false.isam said:you welched
Please withdraw
Sorry welching implies you knocked which you didn't, you ran around making excuses not to take a bet you said was certain to lose while massively giving it the big one
A pre emptor for Cameron's behaviour re the debates
Just admit you got it wrong and I'll never mention it again0 -
Ed Balls deftly avoiding the Tory tax trap.
And that's why Labour needed him rather than the idiot Darling.0 -
Dr Spyn. I really don't want to turn into SeanT but this is one of the series. You get the idea. They were all heroic and Scottish and would have been better with 'local Hero'
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VIIFcBfnSJE&feature=youtu.be
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6 weeks is a very long time in politics.NickPalmer said:
Yep. It's a tie. It's been a tie for months, occasionally with one or the other pulling fractionally ahead, then falling back. All kinds of game-winning wheezes and media offensives have already happened, with no visible effect.Roger said:Everyone seems to be waiting uneasily for the Tories to pull ahead. The antidote to that slightly depressing thought is Nick P. Who better to judge the state of play than Nick an ex and future MP who's been there and done it....
So gird your loins lefties. In Nick We Trust.
Labour wins easily on a tie. And there are just 6 weeks to go.
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NickPalmer said:
Yep. It's a tie. It's been a tie for months, occasionally with one or the other pulling fractionally ahead, then falling back. All kinds of game-winning wheezes and media offensives have already happened, with no visible effect.Roger said:Everyone seems to be waiting uneasily for the Tories to pull ahead. The antidote to that slightly depressing thought is Nick P. Who better to judge the state of play than Nick an ex and future MP who's been there and done it....
So gird your loins lefties. In Nick We Trust.
Labour wins easily on a tie. And there are just 6 weeks to go.
After today's car crash by EM it not likely to be a tie much longerNickPalmer said:
Yep. It's a tie. It's been a tie for months, occasionally with one or the other pulling fractionally ahead, then falling back. All kinds of game-winning wheezes and media offensives have already happened, with no visible effect.Roger said:Everyone seems to be waiting uneasily for the Tories to pull ahead. The antidote to that slightly depressing thought is Nick P. Who better to judge the state of play than Nick an ex and future MP who's been there and done it....
So gird your loins lefties. In Nick We Trust.
Labour wins easily on a tie. And there are just 6 weeks to go.0
