Starmer speaks for the nation – politicalbetting.com
Starmer speaks for the nation – politicalbetting.com
56% of Britons are opposed to sending the Royal Navy to help blockade the Stait of Hormuz – only 23% are in favourNet support by 2024 voteReform +16Con +2Lib Dem -56Lab -57Green -67yougov.com/en-gb/daily-…
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Q: Did you post that picture of yourself depicted as Jesus?
Trump: I did post it and I thought it was me as a doctor. And had to do with red cross as a red cross worker
https://x.com/RpsAgainstTrump/status/2043733050341589332
I've decided to join the Greens after the local elections (not being held in my area), unless those elections prompt a major rethink. That's after over 50 years in Labour and 13 in Parliament as a Labour MP, Like you [Maxh], I'm sceptical about aspects of Green policy but they have a positive, fairly consistent approach, which contrasts with the negative and erratic approach of the traditional parties. The parting has been amicable (I handed over the post of CLP Chair earlier this year) and I'm not interested in slagging anyone off, but a stronger Green voice in Parliament seems to me very desirable. Like you I expect any Green government to be unhelpful personally but better for the country and the future.
Ukraine says its intelligence directorate carried out two rocket launches into space during wartime, including one reaching 204 kilometers above Earth.
Officials also disclosed what they described as Europe’s first launch of a rocket carrier from a transport aircraft at 8,000 meters altitude, marking a rare aerospace development revealed during active combat operations.
https://x.com/DylanMalyasov/status/2043616707160281573
Solid fuel, 2 stages.
Yes, children, it's a baby ICBM.
Instead he's claiming to be stupid to get out of it, which is very unlike him. Since if he took it down he cannot push back and say it was unreasonable people thought it depicted him as Jesus.
But to get involved in a military action on the same side as a USA which has repeatedly offered war crimes as a next step is so crazy that even 51% of Reform supporters can see, however dimly, that it may not be a good idea.
If he said this sincerely it is more evidence he is in rapid cognitive decline. I can see Vance taking power this year
Brace brace
https://x.com/osint613/status/2043728539590005187?s=61
Edit: Mostly right, and clearly not a joke. The final bit is more in keeping with his style.
"It's supposed to me as a doctor, making people better - and I do make people better, I make people a lot better.
Korea must take lead in deepening trilateral ties with China, Japan amid global crisis
https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/southkorea/politics/20260413/korea-must-take-lead-in-deepening-trilateral-ties-with-china-japan-amid-global-crisis
As the European Union took shape, the need to similarly boost trilateral cooperation among South Korea, China and Japan emerged, alongside economic development in the region. On that basis, the three neighbors have expanded cooperation in the 2010s, holding multiple trilateral summits and seeking economic cooperation. However, amid global turmoil, territorial disputes and the COVID-19 pandemic, the relations have deteriorated.
In particular, recent territorial disputes between China and Japan over Taiwan since last November, have made it harder for South Korea, as a so-called pivot country, to mediate the two nations. Also, the diplomatic tasks created by the United States-Israel war with Iran and economic challenges put South Korea to a test amid collapsing unipolar system led by the U.S.
At a roundtable hosted by The Korea Times on April 8 and moderated by Hahm Sung-deuk, dean of Graduate School of Political Studies at Kyonggi University, experts in diplomacy gathered to discuss the event’s theme, “Trilateral Cooperation in an Era of Global Upheaval; How to Strengthen Trilateral Cooperation (Korea–China–Japan) in an Era of Global Upheaval?,” and highlighted the importance of South Korea-led initiative for trilateral cooperation and setting a vision for the region to tackle the current global crisis through regular talks and cooperation while exploring ways to materialize the cooperation...
Potentially a large loss of influence for the US in the region.
"It wasn't a picture.."
"It's supposed to me as a doctor, making people better - and I do make people better, I make people a lot better.
In any case the mere fact he removed it shows he knows what it depicted - if he thought it just showed him as a doctor he'd have kept it up.
Silly thing to do.
One example: https://x.com/libbyemmons/status/2043698019774718274
“No, Mr. President, you are not Jesus. You cannot perform miracles. You are an elected leader in service to the people and you are not God.
“Glad he deleted.”
It was originally posted by someone a couple of months ago, with the caption “President Trump is healing this nation”.
https://x.com/lindangle74/status/2043698515931492487
(Not that I think he would. Whatever Vance's talents, building a followership that cheer him on even when he behaves appallingly isn't one of them.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1u6WZCvBkbo
Trump very very rarely rows back his comments, that he did so for once proves the accusations are correct.
A reminder whilst Corbyn wasn’t popular Corbyn’s policies are.
One of those things I don't really get to be honest - I've seen Greens work really hard for years for no reward, and now despite not really changing in the slightest suddenly they are pushing against an open door with the public and people are reacting like it is really fresh talk.
Just goes to show the importance of timing even over the content of what you say.
So the 25th looks like a complete non-starter.
That is his base.
Whether Vance has the guts to try is another matter.
No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice, and no person who has held the office of President, or acted as President, for more than two years of a term to which some other person was elected President shall be elected to the office of the President more than once.
So as the inaugaration is on January 20 2029 that means January 21 2027 is the first day Vance has the possibility of 10 years
Pathetic individuals.
Not only stupid, but also about to be utterly humiliated by the Chinese when they simply waltz through.
He will probably not win at the next election thanks to Trump, but he'll definitely lose if he takes out Trump. So on they go, hoping they get lucky.
Currently Tisza are on 136 seats .They lost one constituency vote which flipped and one from the national list as more diaspora vote came in there.
The diaspora is separate from the overseas ballots as these are generally returned by post and come from mainly Slovakia , Serbia and Romania which have large ethno Hungarian populations . These break heavily for Fidesz currently around 9 to 1 .
So it’s possible Tisza could drop one more national seat when these are fully counted .
The key number for them is 133 seats to enable a super majority , this is crucial to be able to make changes to the constitution.
The final seat configuration won’t be known until Saturday .
There are still apparently 90,000 overseas votes to be counted , those tend to break heavily for opposition parties , in this case Tisza .
On top of this there are approx 225,000 transfer votes . These are when people for example are working , studying or living away from their normal home .
Both the overseas and transfers won’t be counted till Friday as they have to be transported to their associated constituency seats .
The demographics of the transfers should lean strongly towards Tisza .
There are 3 very close races where Fidesz is leading by 138, 174, and 422 votes . So these are the ones which might change hands .
Anyway I promise not to bore you all with any more of my obsessive Hungarian election ramblings until the final seat counts are confirmed at the weekend !
Most disasters in all sorts of fields boil down to underestimating, or flat-out ignoring, the extent to which your opposite number can retaliate.
https://www.270towin.com/2028-republican-nomination/
It will be pride flags and Palestine flags at the town hall next.
‘ EXCLUSIVE: Reform-led Leicestershire County Council is planning to roll out a county-wide scheme to impose 20 mph speed limits across much of the county, a move that a council source has described to me as "ludicrous."
A council source within the Reform administration has revealed plans to create hundreds of 20 mph speed zones across Leicestershire, following a pilot scheme in Ashby town centre that cost more than £9,000 to implement, according to a Freedom of Information (FOI) request I have seen.
I have been told by a source at Reform Party HQ that Dan Harrison has been given permission to proceed as he sees fit in Leicestershire, provided he retains the backing of his Reform group of councillors. However, a second Reform source has disclosed that six group councillors have already voiced strong opposition to the "ludicrous" plans.
One council source warned that implementing these proposals could cost hundreds of thousands of pounds — money the council does not have. It is understood that planning for the project will begin in the coming weeks, if Dan Harrison survives a vote on his leadership of the council on 13th May’
‘ https://x.com/gbpolitcs/status/2043732339646247212?s=61
definitely seems smarter than the Loser. (And nicer, but that's easier to do.)
I hope that lifts the spirits of any depressed PBers
Good luck!
I still find it astonishing how so many apparently religious Americans voted for Trump .
Starmer won't do it because it would upset China, aka the gaffer.
https://x.com/williamnhutton/status/2043683182256464027?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
Edit: the title is is taken from a Hungarian expression, "a béka segge alatt" used to describe any situation when things can't seem to get any worse: "under a frog's arse, down a coalmine".
A good fit for our times.
Though many loved him even long before then of course.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Trump_Prophecy
They'd be wise to revisit their hope for a second coming. He might just return with his smiting stick...
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cp841y07w5xo
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/w3ct714t
I'm going to assume it's because Meloni is good looking.
Normal stuff here, very normal:
"As the president threatens to wipe out Iran and attacks the pope, even some former allies and advisers are questioning whether he has grown increasingly unbalanced, describing him as 'lunatic' and 'clearly insane'..."
https://bsky.app/profile/maddow.bsky.social/post/3mjfgzec2kk2p
Don't forget Cuba is next:
Aaron Rupar
@atrupar
·
1h
Trump: We're gonna do this [Iran] and we may stop by Cuba after we're finished with this."
https://tracking.tldrnewsletter.com/CL0/https://links.tldrnewsletter.com/bNEOzr/1/0100019d8672c12e-09c7e397-a1a2-4692-860d-d8227b7476c5-000000/CIe7kKZcyqJKWA3HErshU-7vkfFMkCo7GuT0PKfEogc=452
If the men are charged with misconduct in public office and the government plans go ahead, they may only face a judge, a senior lawyer has predicted
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/law/article/andrew-mountbatten-windsor-peter-mandelson-jury-trial-news-03vb6xxjv
Why is that even a real question that can be asked?
David Cameron should not have called the vote on leaving the EU, the late monarch is said to have told Barack Obama
Queen Elizabeth was “dismayed” about David Cameron’s handling of Brexit and confided in Barack Obama about her concerns over calling a referendum, according to a book.
The late Queen, who as monarch could not take a public stance on the issue, is said to have made her views known to the US president over lunch during his visit to Windsor Castle in April 2016.
The claims are made in a book, The Queen and Her Presidents: The Hidden Hand That Shaped History, by the American journalist Susan Page.
Obama, who was interviewed for the book about the Queen’s relationship with America, said she did not believe that as big a decision as the UK leaving the European Union “should have been decided by plebiscite”.
Page said the lunch, which took place two months after Cameron called the referendum, was a “very rare royal critique of a prime minister, in public or private”.
Describing the conversation, Obama said: “She said, effectively, ‘It’s hard to understand why a prime minister, who presumably understands politics, would put a public referendum forward that he didn’t know what the answer would be of such importance.’”
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/queen-elizabeth-ii-david-cameron-brexit-whcsf3dvn
Edit: In fact AI (always trustworthy) says it is exceeds 100% per person, though it calls it a statistic anomaly. Sure.
They will split as under, half to Reform, and the rest to parties on the centre left most likely LD, some Labour
A small "whig" party may survive.
The only chance they have is to make one last bid for the centre ground this summer and stop trying to out Reform Reform.
Following a chat with a longstanding Tory friend in Lichfield at the weekend I'm seeking a bet on Andy Street as a future Tory Leader.
Plans I'm told are afoot to parachute him in to a Seat in the Midlands that has a sitting Tory MP.
They don't like juries. They don't like parliamentary votes.
What do they like?
Well, not that shocked.
That's it.
If it were Biden or Obama doing it, which is perfectly possible under an alternative scenario, we wouldn't hear half as much criticism.
The sane thing would have been to have a referendum *earlier*.
Both Dave & George (like me) thought the Lib Dems would do better than winning 8 seats.
It was all Jo Swinson's fault, she convinced everybody in Lib Dem held seats the Lib Dem votes would go up.
In her defence, in her own seat it did.
There was all those Ashcroft polls showing the Lib Dems holding on outside of North Britain.