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Just like that, could Yvette Cooper become Labour's first female leader and PM -politicalbetting.com

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  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 58,250
    Ed Davey says no to war and yes to dad dancing.

    https://x.com/edwardjdavey/status/2033542606081147125
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 38,100

    Struggling to see how anyone cannot agree Ed M is absolutely right about the need to get off fossil fuels and onto nuclear and renewables as soon as possible.

    He is right, Horse, but he is also Ed Milliband and should not be allowed anywhere near 10 Downing Street.
    I'm not sure why this is a struggle for Horse. There is no gain to be made in forcing the public and companies to adopt renewables (especially shit ones) via punitive measures, whilst also importing from countries that pollute big. It rewards polluters by off-shoring our economy to them.

    China has done the opposite - used the cheapest, dirtiest fuels, widened its lead over Western economies (especially the British economy - in the 90s we actually used to manufacture solar panels), and is no using renewables in a considered way where it makes economical sense. Do they face a storm of invectice from us for taking that approach? Nope. Instead UK greenies like ours here coo and gush about the amazing strides they've made in 'emissions increases decelerating' like parents admiring a shit picture by their child.

    We should do the same. Use fossil fules to power our economy, our technological growth, and our transition away from fossile fuels, in good time.
    UK produced crude enters the international market. It would help the Exchequer in taxation terms but does not give us any greater self determination for our energy security. When the wind blows and the sun shines we generate good old British electricity for our own consumption. This is sovereign electricity.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 7,302
    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    I’ve never been called affluent before ! My point stands . Reform as the “ working class hero “ party is laughable!
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 19,434

    Struggling to see how anyone cannot agree Ed M is absolutely right about the need to get off fossil fuels and onto nuclear and renewables as soon as possible.

    He is right, Horse, but he is also Ed Milliband and should not be allowed anywhere near 10 Downing Street.
    I'm not sure why this is a struggle for Horse. There is no gain to be made in forcing the public and companies to adopt renewables (especially shit ones) via punitive measures, whilst also importing from countries that pollute big. It rewards polluters by off-shoring our economy to them.

    China has done the opposite - used the cheapest, dirtiest fuels, widened its lead over Western economies (especially the British economy - in the 90s we actually used to manufacture solar panels), and is no using renewables in a considered way where it makes economical sense. Do they face a storm of invectice from us for taking that approach? Nope. Instead UK greenies like ours here coo and gush about the amazing strides they've made in 'emissions increases decelerating' like parents admiring a shit picture by their child.

    We should do the same. Use fossil fules to power our economy, our technological growth, and our transition away from fossile fuels, in good time.
    There is a gain (or may be, depending on the details) if you get the country moved to decarbonised energy solutions quicker.

    We cannot afford to do things “in good time” given climate change so far. (I am aware that you are in persuaded by this given you think climate change is a giant scam.)
  • CookieCookie Posts: 17,058
    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Everyone's going to make their lives worse. In these circumstances, they may as well vote for someone who appears to like them.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 40,781
    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    The outlook of the master remains the same, whether that master is right wing or left wing. Claim to be virtuous, while condemning the lower classes for being stupid.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 22,274
    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    One assumes you don't have an ISA then.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 34,401

    Struggling to see how anyone cannot agree Ed M is absolutely right about the need to get off fossil fuels and onto nuclear and renewables as soon as possible.

    He is right, Horse, but he is also Ed Milliband and should not be allowed anywhere near 10 Downing Street.
    I'm not sure why this is a struggle for Horse. There is no gain to be made in forcing the public and companies to adopt renewables (especially shit ones) via punitive measures, whilst also importing from countries that pollute big. It rewards polluters by off-shoring our economy to them.

    China has done the opposite - used the cheapest, dirtiest fuels, widened its lead over Western economies (especially the British economy - in the 90s we actually used to manufacture solar panels), and is no using renewables in a considered way where it makes economical sense. Do they face a storm of invectice from us for taking that approach? Nope. Instead UK greenies like ours here coo and gush about the amazing strides they've made in 'emissions increases decelerating' like parents admiring a shit picture by their child.

    We should do the same. Use fossil fules to power our economy, our technological growth, and our transition away from fossile fuels, in good time.
    UK produced crude enters the international market. It would help the Exchequer in taxation terms but does not give us any greater self determination for our energy security. When the wind blows and the sun shines we generate good old British electricity for our own consumption. This is sovereign electricity.
    UK oil is sold at the global price, and yes, helps increase the tax take and get us out of debt. Gas is priced locally.

    Wind and Sun isn't sovereign, unless you mean the sovereign wealth funds of Denmark, Saudi Arabia, Canada, Norway and Spain.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 22,274
    Taz said:

    TACO time (again).

    Al Jazeera Breaking News
    @AJENews
    BREAKING: US claims it allows Iranian oil tankers to transit Hormuz to maintain global supply

    https://x.com/AJENews/status/2033526281636106721?s=20

    I’d read that as a veiled threat.
    "Nice tanker you've got there. Be a shame if anything happened to it..."
  • LeonLeon Posts: 67,119
    nico67 said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    I’ve never been called affluent before ! My point stands . Reform as the “ working class hero “ party is laughable!
    Your views are repulsive, snobbish and idiotic
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 2,516

    Tice acted within the rules, like most of the expenses troughers did too.
    The rules are there to help the wealthy stay wealthy.

    Tice says he acted within the rules. The Labour Party have suggested that that claim needs to be checked.
    Ill give him the innocent till proven guilty benefit of the doubt for now. Inappropriately greedy for a public servant rather than mendacious
    Neidle suggesting that the REIT used doesn't meet HMRC's conditions and tests. I suspect Neidle is referring to publicly traded / not Close company / max 10% stock holding conditions.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 7,302
    Cookie said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Everyone's going to make their lives worse. In these circumstances, they may as well vote for someone who appears to like them.
    But they don’t like them ! Reform are frauds . They have one policy , blame immigrants for everything .
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 34,401

    Struggling to see how anyone cannot agree Ed M is absolutely right about the need to get off fossil fuels and onto nuclear and renewables as soon as possible.

    He is right, Horse, but he is also Ed Milliband and should not be allowed anywhere near 10 Downing Street.
    I'm not sure why this is a struggle for Horse. There is no gain to be made in forcing the public and companies to adopt renewables (especially shit ones) via punitive measures, whilst also importing from countries that pollute big. It rewards polluters by off-shoring our economy to them.

    China has done the opposite - used the cheapest, dirtiest fuels, widened its lead over Western economies (especially the British economy - in the 90s we actually used to manufacture solar panels), and is no using renewables in a considered way where it makes economical sense. Do they face a storm of invectice from us for taking that approach? Nope. Instead UK greenies like ours here coo and gush about the amazing strides they've made in 'emissions increases decelerating' like parents admiring a shit picture by their child.

    We should do the same. Use fossil fules to power our economy, our technological growth, and our transition away from fossile fuels, in good time.
    There is a gain (or may be, depending on the details) if you get the country moved to decarbonised energy solutions quicker.

    We cannot afford to do things “in good time” given climate change so far. (I am aware that you are in persuaded by this given you think climate change is a giant scam.)
    One can accept that the climate crisis is real and an urgent challenge but also understand the logic that the UK committing economic suicide to purify itself from emissions (whilst importing from fossil fuel guzzling countries) is extraordinarily foolish. Importing LNG produces more tonnes of CO2 than using domestically produced gas. The climate change argument for the current UK arrangements fails on its own terms.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 38,100
    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    I’ve never been called affluent before ! My point stands . Reform as the “ working class hero “ party is laughable!
    Your views are repulsive, snobbish and idiotic
    ...and correct.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 16,613
    Dopermean said:

    Tice acted within the rules, like most of the expenses troughers did too.
    The rules are there to help the wealthy stay wealthy.

    Tice says he acted within the rules. The Labour Party have suggested that that claim needs to be checked.
    Ill give him the innocent till proven guilty benefit of the doubt for now. Inappropriately greedy for a public servant rather than mendacious
    Neidle suggesting that the REIT used doesn't meet HMRC's conditions and tests. I suspect Neidle is referring to publicly traded / not Close company / max 10% stock holding conditions.
    Thats for wiser old birds than me to sort. I'll stick with inappropriately greedy bugger unless and until he gets done
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 7,302
    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    I’ve never been called affluent before ! My point stands . Reform as the “ working class hero “ party is laughable!
    Your views are repulsive, snobbish and idiotic
    You’re hardly the Flying Nun ! So I’m going to ignore your pearl clutching , you’ve said much worse !
  • eekeek Posts: 32,883

    Struggling to see how anyone cannot agree Ed M is absolutely right about the need to get off fossil fuels and onto nuclear and renewables as soon as possible.

    He is right, Horse, but he is also Ed Milliband and should not be allowed anywhere near 10 Downing Street.
    I'm not sure why this is a struggle for Horse. There is no gain to be made in forcing the public and companies to adopt renewables (especially shit ones) via punitive measures, whilst also importing from countries that pollute big. It rewards polluters by off-shoring our economy to them.

    China has done the opposite - used the cheapest, dirtiest fuels, widened its lead over Western economies (especially the British economy - in the 90s we actually used to manufacture solar panels), and is no using renewables in a considered way where it makes economical sense. Do they face a storm of invectice from us for taking that approach? Nope. Instead UK greenies like ours here coo and gush about the amazing strides they've made in 'emissions increases decelerating' like parents admiring a shit picture by their child.

    We should do the same. Use fossil fules to power our economy, our technological growth, and our transition away from fossile fuels, in good time.
    UK produced crude enters the international market. It would help the Exchequer in taxation terms but does not give us any greater self determination for our energy security. When the wind blows and the sun shines we generate good old British electricity for our own consumption. This is sovereign electricity.
    UK oil is sold at the global price, and yes, helps increase the tax take and get us out of debt. Gas is priced locally.

    Wind and Sun isn't sovereign, unless you mean the sovereign wealth funds of Denmark, Saudi Arabia, Canada, Norway and Spain.
    Gas is priced locally - um it's not, it's priced on a global market which is why you will find filled LNG containers changing destination fairly often...
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 7,302
    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    The outlook of the master remains the same, whether that master is right wing or left wing. Claim to be virtuous, while condemning the lower classes for being stupid.
    I don’t claim to be virtuous. But my view is shared by many . Reform couldn’t give two hoots about poorer people and are just using division to turn people against each other. And if you’re poor and think Reform are the answer then don’t come crying when they screw you.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 134,716
    nico67 said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    I’ve never been called affluent before ! My point stands . Reform as the “ working class hero “ party is laughable!
    Who do most white working class voters without degrees now vote for? Reform. You may dislike them but Farage represents their anti woke low immigration patriotic values it seems
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 34,401
    edited 3:23PM
    eek said:

    Struggling to see how anyone cannot agree Ed M is absolutely right about the need to get off fossil fuels and onto nuclear and renewables as soon as possible.

    He is right, Horse, but he is also Ed Milliband and should not be allowed anywhere near 10 Downing Street.
    I'm not sure why this is a struggle for Horse. There is no gain to be made in forcing the public and companies to adopt renewables (especially shit ones) via punitive measures, whilst also importing from countries that pollute big. It rewards polluters by off-shoring our economy to them.

    China has done the opposite - used the cheapest, dirtiest fuels, widened its lead over Western economies (especially the British economy - in the 90s we actually used to manufacture solar panels), and is no using renewables in a considered way where it makes economical sense. Do they face a storm of invectice from us for taking that approach? Nope. Instead UK greenies like ours here coo and gush about the amazing strides they've made in 'emissions increases decelerating' like parents admiring a shit picture by their child.

    We should do the same. Use fossil fules to power our economy, our technological growth, and our transition away from fossile fuels, in good time.
    UK produced crude enters the international market. It would help the Exchequer in taxation terms but does not give us any greater self determination for our energy security. When the wind blows and the sun shines we generate good old British electricity for our own consumption. This is sovereign electricity.
    UK oil is sold at the global price, and yes, helps increase the tax take and get us out of debt. Gas is priced locally.

    Wind and Sun isn't sovereign, unless you mean the sovereign wealth funds of Denmark, Saudi Arabia, Canada, Norway and Spain.
    Gas is priced locally - um it's not, it's priced on a global market which is why you will find filled LNG containers changing destination fairly often...
    So why would they change destinations if the price was the same across the world?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 134,716

    OT - There are few Lab politicians markedly LESS able at communication than Ed - but Yvette Cooper is certainly one of them.

    I'd be worried for the Lab Party's sanity but the story is in the Mail so its probably been planted by No 10 (assuming its not just made up whole cloth). So that's one issue sorted of the thousands upon which to question the Lab Party's sanity

    Yes, Cooper is basically a UK Julia Gillard or Hillary Clinton or another Theresa May
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 28,099
    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 12,665
    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    I’ve never been called affluent before ! My point stands . Reform as the “ working class hero “ party is laughable!
    Your views are repulsive, snobbish and idiotic
    You are almost as bad as Trump.
  • Sweeney74Sweeney74 Posts: 271

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    Tax avoidance and tax evasion are plainly not the same thing. One is legal use of rules Parliament wrote, the other is breaking them. Pretending they are morally identical is just sloganeering for people who can’t be bothered with detail.

    That said, “legal” is not the same as “defensible”, especially for politicians who like to wrap themselves in flag, family and ordinary taxpayer cosplay while using structures most ordinary taxpayers will never see in their lives.

    So the right test is fairly simple:
    if Tice acted lawfully, then it isn’t evasion;
    if the structure was artificial and didn’t meet the rules, HMRC should flatten him;
    and if he wants to preach about how everyone should minimise tax, he can also explain which services he’d cut for the voters he claims to represent.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 58,443
    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    I’ve never been called affluent before ! My point stands . Reform as the “ working class hero “ party is laughable!
    Your views are repulsive, snobbish and idiotic
    Says the man living in Primrose Hill (borders) and cavorting around the world on paid jollies 180 days a year.
  • scampi25scampi25 Posts: 440
    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    More like Effluent middle class British Labour supporter!
  • Sweeney74Sweeney74 Posts: 271
    HYUFD said:

    OT - There are few Lab politicians markedly LESS able at communication than Ed - but Yvette Cooper is certainly one of them.

    I'd be worried for the Lab Party's sanity but the story is in the Mail so its probably been planted by No 10 (assuming its not just made up whole cloth). So that's one issue sorted of the thousands upon which to question the Lab Party's sanity

    Yes, Cooper is basically a UK Julia Gillard or Hillary Clinton or another Theresa May
    Yvette Cooper may well be better than Starmer in the narrow sense of seeming more competent, more grounded and less eerily focus-grouped. But that is still a very low bar.

    As an answer to Labour’s current malaise, she feels like thin gruel: more administrative than inspirational, more capable than compelling. A tidier manager of decline is still managing decline.

    If Labour’s problem is lack of clarity, energy and purpose, replacing Starmer with Cooper feels less like renewal and more like changing accountants halfway through an audit.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 13,301

    eek said:

    Struggling to see how anyone cannot agree Ed M is absolutely right about the need to get off fossil fuels and onto nuclear and renewables as soon as possible.

    He is right, Horse, but he is also Ed Milliband and should not be allowed anywhere near 10 Downing Street.
    I'm not sure why this is a struggle for Horse. There is no gain to be made in forcing the public and companies to adopt renewables (especially shit ones) via punitive measures, whilst also importing from countries that pollute big. It rewards polluters by off-shoring our economy to them.

    China has done the opposite - used the cheapest, dirtiest fuels, widened its lead over Western economies (especially the British economy - in the 90s we actually used to manufacture solar panels), and is no using renewables in a considered way where it makes economical sense. Do they face a storm of invectice from us for taking that approach? Nope. Instead UK greenies like ours here coo and gush about the amazing strides they've made in 'emissions increases decelerating' like parents admiring a shit picture by their child.

    We should do the same. Use fossil fules to power our economy, our technological growth, and our transition away from fossile fuels, in good time.
    UK produced crude enters the international market. It would help the Exchequer in taxation terms but does not give us any greater self determination for our energy security. When the wind blows and the sun shines we generate good old British electricity for our own consumption. This is sovereign electricity.
    UK oil is sold at the global price, and yes, helps increase the tax take and get us out of debt. Gas is priced locally.

    Wind and Sun isn't sovereign, unless you mean the sovereign wealth funds of Denmark, Saudi Arabia, Canada, Norway and Spain.
    Gas is priced locally - um it's not, it's priced on a global market which is why you will find filled LNG containers changing destination fairly often...
    So why would they change destinations if the price was the same across the world?
    A wholly disingenuous interpretation of the post you're answering. As a free marketeer you should know that a "global market" does not mean that prices are the same throughout the world! I learned on PB itself that LNG tankers are chartered on the "spot market," so their cargo isn't always locked into a fixed destination by long-term contract. If prices surge in one region after a ship sails, say, a cold snap in Europe suddenly drives up gas prices, the cargo becomes far more valuable there than at the original destination. The owner or cargo trader can pocket the difference by diverting mid-voyage.

    Much of the world's LNG is bought and sold by commodity traders who actively look for price discrepancies between markets. A ship at sea is essentially a floating warehouse, and redirecting it is standard.

    Many LNG contracts are "free on board"/"destination-flexible". This explicitly gives the buyer the right to send the cargo wherever they want, unlike older long-term contracts had strict destination clauses. As alluded to above, this became highly visible during in 2021–2022 when dozens of LNG tankers headed to Asia were diverted to Europe mid-voyage because European gas prices spiked above Asian prices.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 12,665
    Sweeney74 said:

    HYUFD said:

    OT - There are few Lab politicians markedly LESS able at communication than Ed - but Yvette Cooper is certainly one of them.

    I'd be worried for the Lab Party's sanity but the story is in the Mail so its probably been planted by No 10 (assuming its not just made up whole cloth). So that's one issue sorted of the thousands upon which to question the Lab Party's sanity

    Yes, Cooper is basically a UK Julia Gillard or Hillary Clinton or another Theresa May
    Yvette Cooper may well be better than Starmer in the narrow sense of seeming more competent, more grounded and less eerily focus-grouped. But that is still a very low bar.

    As an answer to Labour’s current malaise, she feels like thin gruel: more administrative than inspirational, more capable than compelling. A tidier manager of decline is still managing decline.

    If Labour’s problem is lack of clarity, energy and purpose, replacing Starmer with Cooper feels less like renewal and more like changing accountants halfway through an audit.
    Yours is a very good comment.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 7,302
    scampi25 said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    More like Effluent middle class British Labour supporter!
    Very funny !
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 58,670
    edited 3:37PM
    Cookie said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Everyone's going to make their lives worse. In these circumstances, they may as well vote for someone who appears to like them.
    I reckon one of the ways that Farage and Trump are most alike is that they both DESPISE their voters.

    Ask yourself - why does Farage spend so little time in his constituency?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 58,443
    scampi25 said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    More like Effluent middle class British Labour supporter!
    That's the Thames Water board!
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 87,182

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    "Simpler" ?

    This complex chain sounds as dodgy as a Trump promise to me (assuming that the account below is accurate).

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/clyz0ep9g8lo
    ..The newspaper claimed, Tice had avoided paying corporation tax on the company's "multimillion-pound profits for most of 2018 to 2021" through gaining "rare legal status" for it as a real estate investment trust (Reit).
    The status gives firms a grace period in which they are exempt from corporation tax, according to the paper, and instead issue a portion of the company's earnings to shareholders who are taxed individually.
    Tice reportedly channelled these dividends into structures including an offshore trust and "a string of dormant businesses", which "reduced his exposure to tax".
    The paper also claimed Quidnet "did not pass the technical tests for Reit status at the time and never did", and had gained the status instead through a "legal quirk"...


    It seems a lot like the "aggressive tax avoidance" that the Revenue takes a very dim view of , and it's entirely fair (IMO) to ask the Revenue to take a hard look at it.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 7,302
    Chelsea fined 10 million pounds and still tumbleweed when it comes to the 100 plus charges against Man City !
  • MonkeysMonkeys Posts: 848
    nico67 said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    The outlook of the master remains the same, whether that master is right wing or left wing. Claim to be virtuous, while condemning the lower classes for being stupid.
    I don’t claim to be virtuous. But my view is shared by many . Reform couldn’t give two hoots about poorer people and are just using division to turn people against each other. And if you’re poor and think Reform are the answer then don’t come crying when they screw you.
    "Using division to turn people against each other" is the essence of identity politics and the spirit of the age. I mean I'd rather it wasn't but everyone is at it.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 61,632
    Sweeney74 said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    Tax avoidance and tax evasion are plainly not the same thing. One is legal use of rules Parliament wrote, the other is breaking them. Pretending they are morally identical is just sloganeering for people who can’t be bothered with detail.

    That said, “legal” is not the same as “defensible”, especially for politicians who like to wrap themselves in flag, family and ordinary taxpayer cosplay while using structures most ordinary taxpayers will never see in their lives.

    So the right test is fairly simple:
    if Tice acted lawfully, then it isn’t evasion;
    if the structure was artificial and didn’t meet the rules, HMRC should flatten him;
    and if he wants to preach about how everyone should minimise tax, he can also explain which services he’d cut for the voters he claims to represent.
    When the Tax Gap clowns got going, one was to get banned from Murphy’s blog was to point out that about 90% of the Tax Gap is

    - the personal tax allowance
    - Saving for pensions
    - ISAs

    For even more fun, Gordon Brown introduced rules making it obligatory for Financial Advisor to advocate pensions and ISAs to their clients.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 19,434
    nico67 said:

    Cookie said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Everyone's going to make their lives worse. In these circumstances, they may as well vote for someone who appears to like them.
    But they don’t like them ! Reform are frauds . They have one policy , blame immigrants for everything .
    They don't blame immigrants for everything. They blame at least 7% of things on net zero.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 58,443
    eek said:

    Scott_xP said:

    UPDATE ON THE HORMUZ COALITION (Mon, March 16):

    🇫🇷 France: REJECTED
    🇬🇧 UK: REJECTED
    🇮🇹 Italy: REJECTED
    🇪🇸 Spain: REJECTED
    🇯🇵 Japan: REJECTED
    🇳🇴 Norway: REJECTED
    🇨🇦 Canada: REJECTED
    🇦🇺 Australia: REJECTED
    🇩🇪 Germany: REJECTED
    🇨🇳 China: NO RESPONSE
    🇳🇱 Netherlands: NO RESPONSE
    🇰🇷 South Korea: NO CONFIRMATION

    So there is still a chance

    :lo:

    image
  • Sweeney74Sweeney74 Posts: 271
    scampi25 said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    More like Effluent middle class British Labour supporter!
    I've always thought that effluvium is quite a pretty sounding word... is there a word for this, words that sound like the opposite of what they mean?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 19,434

    Struggling to see how anyone cannot agree Ed M is absolutely right about the need to get off fossil fuels and onto nuclear and renewables as soon as possible.

    He is right, Horse, but he is also Ed Milliband and should not be allowed anywhere near 10 Downing Street.
    I'm not sure why this is a struggle for Horse. There is no gain to be made in forcing the public and companies to adopt renewables (especially shit ones) via punitive measures, whilst also importing from countries that pollute big. It rewards polluters by off-shoring our economy to them.

    China has done the opposite - used the cheapest, dirtiest fuels, widened its lead over Western economies (especially the British economy - in the 90s we actually used to manufacture solar panels), and is no using renewables in a considered way where it makes economical sense. Do they face a storm of invectice from us for taking that approach? Nope. Instead UK greenies like ours here coo and gush about the amazing strides they've made in 'emissions increases decelerating' like parents admiring a shit picture by their child.

    We should do the same. Use fossil fules to power our economy, our technological growth, and our transition away from fossile fuels, in good time.
    There is a gain (or may be, depending on the details) if you get the country moved to decarbonised energy solutions quicker.

    We cannot afford to do things “in good time” given climate change so far. (I am aware that you are in persuaded by this given you think climate change is a giant scam.)
    One can accept that the climate crisis is real and an urgent challenge but also understand the logic that the UK committing economic suicide to purify itself from emissions (whilst importing from fossil fuel guzzling countries) is extraordinarily foolish. Importing LNG produces more tonnes of CO2 than using domestically produced gas. The climate change argument for the current UK arrangements fails on its own terms.
    But you don't even accept that the climate crisis is real.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 70,706
    Omnium said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    HYUFD said:

    OT - There are few Lab politicians markedly LESS able at communication than Ed - but Yvette Cooper is certainly one of them.

    I'd be worried for the Lab Party's sanity but the story is in the Mail so its probably been planted by No 10 (assuming its not just made up whole cloth). So that's one issue sorted of the thousands upon which to question the Lab Party's sanity

    Yes, Cooper is basically a UK Julia Gillard or Hillary Clinton or another Theresa May
    Yvette Cooper may well be better than Starmer in the narrow sense of seeming more competent, more grounded and less eerily focus-grouped. But that is still a very low bar.

    As an answer to Labour’s current malaise, she feels like thin gruel: more administrative than inspirational, more capable than compelling. A tidier manager of decline is still managing decline.

    If Labour’s problem is lack of clarity, energy and purpose, replacing Starmer with Cooper feels less like renewal and more like changing accountants halfway through an audit.
    Yours is a very good comment.
    FWIW, my view is that only Rayner or Burnham has a hope of turn around a polling deficit against Farage in a six week GE campaign. It will need campaigning and comms of extraordinary levels. The rest are too leaden to be honest on that front. Starmer certainly wont be able to do it.

    But Cooper would be a far better PM as far as day-to-day running of a government goes. Although one reads of whispers that she is seen as indecisive - so who knows.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 87,182
    Omnium said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    I’ve never been called affluent before ! My point stands . Reform as the “ working class hero “ party is laughable!
    Your views are repulsive, snobbish and idiotic
    You are almost as bad as Trump.
    Leon is nowhere near as bad.

    He's something of a galloping narcissist, certainly. He's regularly and gratuitously abusive. But he's not a megalomaniac, nor is he entirely devoid of empathy, on occasion.

    And it's possible to have a completely rational conversation with him. Sometimes.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 58,250
    Sweeney74 said:

    HYUFD said:

    OT - There are few Lab politicians markedly LESS able at communication than Ed - but Yvette Cooper is certainly one of them.

    I'd be worried for the Lab Party's sanity but the story is in the Mail so its probably been planted by No 10 (assuming its not just made up whole cloth). So that's one issue sorted of the thousands upon which to question the Lab Party's sanity

    Yes, Cooper is basically a UK Julia Gillard or Hillary Clinton or another Theresa May
    Yvette Cooper may well be better than Starmer in the narrow sense of seeming more competent, more grounded and less eerily focus-grouped. But that is still a very low bar.

    As an answer to Labour’s current malaise, she feels like thin gruel: more administrative than inspirational, more capable than compelling. A tidier manager of decline is still managing decline.

    If Labour’s problem is lack of clarity, energy and purpose, replacing Starmer with Cooper feels less like renewal and more like changing accountants halfway through an audit.
    The question facing Labour is how to avoid the same fate as the Parti Socialiste after Francois Hollande. Their VI poll ratings could take another big hit after May as their voters abandon the sinking ship.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 19,434
    nico67 said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    The outlook of the master remains the same, whether that master is right wing or left wing. Claim to be virtuous, while condemning the lower classes for being stupid.
    I don’t claim to be virtuous. But my view is shared by many . Reform couldn’t give two hoots about poorer people and are just using division to turn people against each other. And if you’re poor and think Reform are the answer then don’t come crying when they screw you.
    Reform are like MAGA: their rich donors want deregulation and tax cuts for the rich, and don't give 2 hoots about the poor.
  • Sweeney74Sweeney74 Posts: 271

    Sweeney74 said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    Tax avoidance and tax evasion are plainly not the same thing. One is legal use of rules Parliament wrote, the other is breaking them. Pretending they are morally identical is just sloganeering for people who can’t be bothered with detail.

    That said, “legal” is not the same as “defensible”, especially for politicians who like to wrap themselves in flag, family and ordinary taxpayer cosplay while using structures most ordinary taxpayers will never see in their lives.

    So the right test is fairly simple:
    if Tice acted lawfully, then it isn’t evasion;
    if the structure was artificial and didn’t meet the rules, HMRC should flatten him;
    and if he wants to preach about how everyone should minimise tax, he can also explain which services he’d cut for the voters he claims to represent.
    When the Tax Gap clowns got going, one was to get banned from Murphy’s blog was to point out that about 90% of the Tax Gap is

    - the personal tax allowance
    - Saving for pensions
    - ISAs

    For even more fun, Gordon Brown introduced rules making it obligatory for Financial Advisor to advocate pensions and ISAs to their clients.
    The personal allowance, pensions and ISAs are not the issue. They are explicit, mass-market reliefs built into the system on purpose.

    Aggressive avoidance through specialist vehicles is a different matter entirely, even if it remains lawful unless HMRC knocks it over.

    So “people use ISAs” is not a rebuttal. It’s just an attempt to blur the line between ordinary tax planning and behaviour that is technically legal but politically and morally grubby.

    If Tice did nothing beyond the equivalent of using an ISA, fine. If he used contrived structures beyond the reach of normal taxpayers while selling himself as their tribune, then criticism is entirely fair.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 19,434

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    But the accusation Neidle has made, AIUI, is that Tice is evading not avoiding.
  • Sweeney74Sweeney74 Posts: 271
    Omnium said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    HYUFD said:

    OT - There are few Lab politicians markedly LESS able at communication than Ed - but Yvette Cooper is certainly one of them.

    I'd be worried for the Lab Party's sanity but the story is in the Mail so its probably been planted by No 10 (assuming its not just made up whole cloth). So that's one issue sorted of the thousands upon which to question the Lab Party's sanity

    Yes, Cooper is basically a UK Julia Gillard or Hillary Clinton or another Theresa May
    Yvette Cooper may well be better than Starmer in the narrow sense of seeming more competent, more grounded and less eerily focus-grouped. But that is still a very low bar.

    As an answer to Labour’s current malaise, she feels like thin gruel: more administrative than inspirational, more capable than compelling. A tidier manager of decline is still managing decline.

    If Labour’s problem is lack of clarity, energy and purpose, replacing Starmer with Cooper feels less like renewal and more like changing accountants halfway through an audit.
    Yours is a very good comment.
    Thank you for saying so.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 87,182
    Sweeney74 said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    Tax avoidance and tax evasion are plainly not the same thing. One is legal use of rules Parliament wrote, the other is breaking them. Pretending they are morally identical is just sloganeering for people who can’t be bothered with detail.

    That said, “legal” is not the same as “defensible”, especially for politicians who like to wrap themselves in flag, family and ordinary taxpayer cosplay while using structures most ordinary taxpayers will never see in their lives.

    So the right test is fairly simple:
    if Tice acted lawfully, then it isn’t evasion;
    if the structure was artificial and didn’t meet the rules, HMRC should flatten him;
    and if he wants to preach about how everyone should minimise tax, he can also explain which services he’d cut for the voters he claims to represent.
    There isn't a bright line between the two things (which is why General Anti-Abuse Rules were introduced a decade ago.)
  • TazTaz Posts: 25,998

    nico67 said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    The outlook of the master remains the same, whether that master is right wing or left wing. Claim to be virtuous, while condemning the lower classes for being stupid.
    I don’t claim to be virtuous. But my view is shared by many . Reform couldn’t give two hoots about poorer people and are just using division to turn people against each other. And if you’re poor and think Reform are the answer then don’t come crying when they screw you.
    Reform are like MAGA: their rich donors want deregulation and tax cuts for the rich, and don't give 2 hoots about the poor.
    Whereas this witless twat does 🙄

    https://x.com/paulembery/status/2033459288564261151?s=61
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 61,632
    Sweeney74 said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    Tax avoidance and tax evasion are plainly not the same thing. One is legal use of rules Parliament wrote, the other is breaking them. Pretending they are morally identical is just sloganeering for people who can’t be bothered with detail.

    That said, “legal” is not the same as “defensible”, especially for politicians who like to wrap themselves in flag, family and ordinary taxpayer cosplay while using structures most ordinary taxpayers will never see in their lives.

    So the right test is fairly simple:
    if Tice acted lawfully, then it isn’t evasion;
    if the structure was artificial and didn’t meet the rules, HMRC should flatten him;
    and if he wants to preach about how everyone should minimise tax, he can also explain which services he’d cut for the voters he claims to represent.
    When the Tax Gap clowns got going, one was to get banned from Murphy’s blog was to point out that about 90% of the Tax Gap is

    - the personal tax allowance
    - Saving for pensions
    - ISAs

    For even more fun, Gordon Brown introduced rules making it obligatory for Financial Advisor to advocate pensions and ISAs to their clients.
    The personal allowance, pensions and ISAs are not the issue. They are explicit, mass-market reliefs built into the system on purpose.

    Aggressive avoidance through specialist vehicles is a different matter entirely, even if it remains lawful unless HMRC knocks it over.

    So “people use ISAs” is not a rebuttal. It’s just an attempt to blur the line between ordinary tax planning and behaviour that is technically legal but politically and morally grubby.

    If Tice did nothing beyond the equivalent of using an ISA, fine. If he used contrived structures beyond the reach of normal taxpayers while selling himself as their tribune, then criticism is entirely fair.
    But where is the line? It’s drawn by HMRC

    After all, we were told that it was trivial for farmers to put everything in trust - or is that beyond the bounds now?

    They can stop what Tice is doing in an afternoon.

  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 12,665

    Omnium said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    HYUFD said:

    OT - There are few Lab politicians markedly LESS able at communication than Ed - but Yvette Cooper is certainly one of them.

    I'd be worried for the Lab Party's sanity but the story is in the Mail so its probably been planted by No 10 (assuming its not just made up whole cloth). So that's one issue sorted of the thousands upon which to question the Lab Party's sanity

    Yes, Cooper is basically a UK Julia Gillard or Hillary Clinton or another Theresa May
    Yvette Cooper may well be better than Starmer in the narrow sense of seeming more competent, more grounded and less eerily focus-grouped. But that is still a very low bar.

    As an answer to Labour’s current malaise, she feels like thin gruel: more administrative than inspirational, more capable than compelling. A tidier manager of decline is still managing decline.

    If Labour’s problem is lack of clarity, energy and purpose, replacing Starmer with Cooper feels less like renewal and more like changing accountants halfway through an audit.
    Yours is a very good comment.
    FWIW, my view is that only Rayner or Burnham has a hope of turn around a polling deficit against Farage in a six week GE campaign. It will need campaigning and comms of extraordinary levels. The rest are too leaden to be honest on that front. Starmer certainly wont be able to do it.

    But Cooper would be a far better PM as far as day-to-day running of a government goes. Although one reads of whispers that she is seen as indecisive - so who knows.
    Burnham will wreck the country. Rayner and Cooper are more responsible enough (a newish thing for the former).

    The perfect Labour leader is one that can run the country whilst making it blindingly obvious that the Tories need to come back.

    (Kemi is doing ok, but laying the groundwork for a Tory resurgence needs far more.)
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 49,459
    edited 3:56PM
    nico67 said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    I’ve never been called affluent before ! My point stands . Reform as the “ working class hero “ party is laughable!
    What they - or rather he (since it's a Farage vehicle) - are trying to do is assemble a similar voting coalition to the Brexit one. It's quite a large pond to fish in. Their challenge, essentially, is to get right wing ex tories, plus almost all of the people who think the country's main problem is too many immigrants, plus that portion of the generally pissed off demographic who are susceptible to 'we just need some commonsense' messaging. Plenty of category overlap there obviously. Is it enough to win a GE? Maybe but I don't think so. I'm short of them at evens and pretty happy with that.
  • Sweeney74Sweeney74 Posts: 271
    Nigelb said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    Tax avoidance and tax evasion are plainly not the same thing. One is legal use of rules Parliament wrote, the other is breaking them. Pretending they are morally identical is just sloganeering for people who can’t be bothered with detail.

    That said, “legal” is not the same as “defensible”, especially for politicians who like to wrap themselves in flag, family and ordinary taxpayer cosplay while using structures most ordinary taxpayers will never see in their lives.

    So the right test is fairly simple:
    if Tice acted lawfully, then it isn’t evasion;
    if the structure was artificial and didn’t meet the rules, HMRC should flatten him;
    and if he wants to preach about how everyone should minimise tax, he can also explain which services he’d cut for the voters he claims to represent.
    There isn't a bright line between the two things (which is why General Anti-Abuse Rules were introduced a decade ago.)
    Yes, quite.

    The line between avoidance and evasion may not always be bright, especially once you get into artificial arrangements and the territory GAAR was designed to police.

    But that is really the point, not a defence.

    A politician should be steering miles clear of murky grey areas, not tiptoeing up to the boundary and then acting offended when people question it. “Not proven illegal” is a pretty feeble standard for someone asking voters to trust his judgment.
  • TazTaz Posts: 25,998

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    But the accusation Neidle has made, AIUI, is that Tice is evading not avoiding.
    Highly aggressive tax planning actually and the journalist who wrote the article, which Neidle assisted on, stated it was Avoidance.

    https://x.com/gabriel_pogrund/status/2032951446593786219?s=61
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 19,434
    Taz said:

    nico67 said:

    Sean_F said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    The outlook of the master remains the same, whether that master is right wing or left wing. Claim to be virtuous, while condemning the lower classes for being stupid.
    I don’t claim to be virtuous. But my view is shared by many . Reform couldn’t give two hoots about poorer people and are just using division to turn people against each other. And if you’re poor and think Reform are the answer then don’t come crying when they screw you.
    Reform are like MAGA: their rich donors want deregulation and tax cuts for the rich, and don't give 2 hoots about the poor.
    Whereas this witless twat does 🙄

    https://x.com/paulembery/status/2033459288564261151?s=61
    I think Davey has faced some tough challenges in his life and has more empathy for the electorate than Christopher Harborne (Reform UK's biggest donor).
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 58,250
    Interesting discussion between Robert Kagan and Bill Kristol about the Iran War:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WqNVsahS8v4
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 58,670

    Axios: Some in [Trump's] inner circle have what one official called "buyer's remorse" —growing fears that attacking Iran was a mistake.


    No shit, Sherlock.

    But Bibi doesn't think so.

    America got bounced. By a President who is bouncier than a bouncy ball.

    If you had sat 10 random PB posters down and asked them for their prognosis of attacking Iran in the way that has happened, they would have come up with a day by day summary of what has come to pass.

  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 19,434

    Sweeney74 said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    Tax avoidance and tax evasion are plainly not the same thing. One is legal use of rules Parliament wrote, the other is breaking them. Pretending they are morally identical is just sloganeering for people who can’t be bothered with detail.

    That said, “legal” is not the same as “defensible”, especially for politicians who like to wrap themselves in flag, family and ordinary taxpayer cosplay while using structures most ordinary taxpayers will never see in their lives.

    So the right test is fairly simple:
    if Tice acted lawfully, then it isn’t evasion;
    if the structure was artificial and didn’t meet the rules, HMRC should flatten him;
    and if he wants to preach about how everyone should minimise tax, he can also explain which services he’d cut for the voters he claims to represent.
    When the Tax Gap clowns got going, one was to get banned from Murphy’s blog was to point out that about 90% of the Tax Gap is

    - the personal tax allowance
    - Saving for pensions
    - ISAs

    For even more fun, Gordon Brown introduced rules making it obligatory for Financial Advisor to advocate pensions and ISAs to their clients.
    The personal allowance, pensions and ISAs are not the issue. They are explicit, mass-market reliefs built into the system on purpose.

    Aggressive avoidance through specialist vehicles is a different matter entirely, even if it remains lawful unless HMRC knocks it over.

    So “people use ISAs” is not a rebuttal. It’s just an attempt to blur the line between ordinary tax planning and behaviour that is technically legal but politically and morally grubby.

    If Tice did nothing beyond the equivalent of using an ISA, fine. If he used contrived structures beyond the reach of normal taxpayers while selling himself as their tribune, then criticism is entirely fair.
    But where is the line? It’s drawn by HMRC

    After all, we were told that it was trivial for farmers to put everything in trust - or is that beyond the bounds now?

    They can stop what Tice is doing in an afternoon.
    They need to follow due process, investigate and get a response from Tice. That will take more than an afternoon.
  • Sweeney74Sweeney74 Posts: 271
    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    HYUFD said:

    OT - There are few Lab politicians markedly LESS able at communication than Ed - but Yvette Cooper is certainly one of them.

    I'd be worried for the Lab Party's sanity but the story is in the Mail so its probably been planted by No 10 (assuming its not just made up whole cloth). So that's one issue sorted of the thousands upon which to question the Lab Party's sanity

    Yes, Cooper is basically a UK Julia Gillard or Hillary Clinton or another Theresa May
    Yvette Cooper may well be better than Starmer in the narrow sense of seeming more competent, more grounded and less eerily focus-grouped. But that is still a very low bar.

    As an answer to Labour’s current malaise, she feels like thin gruel: more administrative than inspirational, more capable than compelling. A tidier manager of decline is still managing decline.

    If Labour’s problem is lack of clarity, energy and purpose, replacing Starmer with Cooper feels less like renewal and more like changing accountants halfway through an audit.
    Yours is a very good comment.
    FWIW, my view is that only Rayner or Burnham has a hope of turn around a polling deficit against Farage in a six week GE campaign. It will need campaigning and comms of extraordinary levels. The rest are too leaden to be honest on that front. Starmer certainly wont be able to do it.

    But Cooper would be a far better PM as far as day-to-day running of a government goes. Although one reads of whispers that she is seen as indecisive - so who knows.
    Burnham will wreck the country. Rayner and Cooper are more responsible enough (a newish thing for the former).

    The perfect Labour leader is one that can run the country whilst making it blindingly obvious that the Tories need to come back.

    (Kemi is doing ok, but laying the groundwork for a Tory resurgence needs far more.)
    That’s a wonderfully dismal standard: the ideal Labour leader is one who runs things just well enough to steady the ship while making the case for the Tories’ return.

    Not so much democratic choice as alternating management of decline. Britain really does know how to dream.
  • TazTaz Posts: 25,998

    Struggling to see how anyone cannot agree Ed M is absolutely right about the need to get off fossil fuels and onto nuclear and renewables as soon as possible.

    He is right, Horse, but he is also Ed Milliband and should not be allowed anywhere near 10 Downing Street.
    I'm not sure why this is a struggle for Horse. There is no gain to be made in forcing the public and companies to adopt renewables (especially shit ones) via punitive measures, whilst also importing from countries that pollute big. It rewards polluters by off-shoring our economy to them.

    China has done the opposite - used the cheapest, dirtiest fuels, widened its lead over Western economies (especially the British economy - in the 90s we actually used to manufacture solar panels), and is no using renewables in a considered way where it makes economical sense. Do they face a storm of invectice from us for taking that approach? Nope. Instead UK greenies like ours here coo and gush about the amazing strides they've made in 'emissions increases decelerating' like parents admiring a shit picture by their child.

    We should do the same. Use fossil fules to power our economy, our technological growth, and our transition away from fossile fuels, in good time.
    There is a gain (or may be, depending on the details) if you get the country moved to decarbonised energy solutions quicker.

    We cannot afford to do things “in good time” given climate change so far. (I am aware that you are in persuaded by this given you think climate change is a giant scam.)
    One can accept that the climate crisis is real and an urgent challenge but also understand the logic that the UK committing economic suicide to purify itself from emissions (whilst importing from fossil fuel guzzling countries) is extraordinarily foolish. Importing LNG produces more tonnes of CO2 than using domestically produced gas. The climate change argument for the current UK arrangements fails on its own terms.
    But you don't even accept that the climate crisis is real.
    Burn the heretic.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 19,434
    Taz said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    But the accusation Neidle has made, AIUI, is that Tice is evading not avoiding.
    Highly aggressive tax planning actually and the journalist who wrote the article, which Neidle assisted on, stated it was Avoidance.

    https://x.com/gabriel_pogrund/status/2032951446593786219?s=61
    I stand (well, sit with a cat on my lap) corrected.

    Neidle appears to be phrasing his words to say the most accusatory thing he can without actually quite saying evading. Presumably out of concern of litigation.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 47,081
    ..'
    Nigelb said:

    Omnium said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    Leon said:

    nico67 said:

    The Reform core vote is like the Magas .

    Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .

    Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter

    And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows

    I’ve never been called affluent before ! My point stands . Reform as the “ working class hero “ party is laughable!
    Your views are repulsive, snobbish and idiotic
    You are almost as bad as Trump.
    Leon is nowhere near as bad.

    He's something of a galloping narcissist, certainly. He's regularly and gratuitously abusive. But he's not a megalomaniac, nor is he entirely devoid of empathy, on occasion.

    And it's possible to have a completely rational conversation with him. Sometimes.
    Also uses less make up and doesn’t smell quite as much of pooh, so on the whole an improvement.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 58,670

    Interesting discussion between Robert Kagan and Bill Kristol about the Iran War:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WqNVsahS8v4

    As is this:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qvpQx3Ojh1U

    "Trump ignored the obvious and went to war. Now the obvious is getting its revenge."
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 12,665
    Sweeney74 said:

    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    HYUFD said:

    OT - There are few Lab politicians markedly LESS able at communication than Ed - but Yvette Cooper is certainly one of them.

    I'd be worried for the Lab Party's sanity but the story is in the Mail so its probably been planted by No 10 (assuming its not just made up whole cloth). So that's one issue sorted of the thousands upon which to question the Lab Party's sanity

    Yes, Cooper is basically a UK Julia Gillard or Hillary Clinton or another Theresa May
    Yvette Cooper may well be better than Starmer in the narrow sense of seeming more competent, more grounded and less eerily focus-grouped. But that is still a very low bar.

    As an answer to Labour’s current malaise, she feels like thin gruel: more administrative than inspirational, more capable than compelling. A tidier manager of decline is still managing decline.

    If Labour’s problem is lack of clarity, energy and purpose, replacing Starmer with Cooper feels less like renewal and more like changing accountants halfway through an audit.
    Yours is a very good comment.
    FWIW, my view is that only Rayner or Burnham has a hope of turn around a polling deficit against Farage in a six week GE campaign. It will need campaigning and comms of extraordinary levels. The rest are too leaden to be honest on that front. Starmer certainly wont be able to do it.

    But Cooper would be a far better PM as far as day-to-day running of a government goes. Although one reads of whispers that she is seen as indecisive - so who knows.
    Burnham will wreck the country. Rayner and Cooper are more responsible enough (a newish thing for the former).

    The perfect Labour leader is one that can run the country whilst making it blindingly obvious that the Tories need to come back.

    (Kemi is doing ok, but laying the groundwork for a Tory resurgence needs far more.)
    That’s a wonderfully dismal standard: the ideal Labour leader is one who runs things just well enough to steady the ship while making the case for the Tories’ return.

    Not so much democratic choice as alternating management of decline. Britain really does know how to dream.
    Fair enough. However I'm a lifelong Tory and my hopes that the Tory party can actually deliver something worthwhile are (against all logic) undiminished.

    We did see such a thing once.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 22,274
    Taz said:

    Struggling to see how anyone cannot agree Ed M is absolutely right about the need to get off fossil fuels and onto nuclear and renewables as soon as possible.

    He is right, Horse, but he is also Ed Milliband and should not be allowed anywhere near 10 Downing Street.
    I'm not sure why this is a struggle for Horse. There is no gain to be made in forcing the public and companies to adopt renewables (especially shit ones) via punitive measures, whilst also importing from countries that pollute big. It rewards polluters by off-shoring our economy to them.

    China has done the opposite - used the cheapest, dirtiest fuels, widened its lead over Western economies (especially the British economy - in the 90s we actually used to manufacture solar panels), and is no using renewables in a considered way where it makes economical sense. Do they face a storm of invectice from us for taking that approach? Nope. Instead UK greenies like ours here coo and gush about the amazing strides they've made in 'emissions increases decelerating' like parents admiring a shit picture by their child.

    We should do the same. Use fossil fules to power our economy, our technological growth, and our transition away from fossile fuels, in good time.
    There is a gain (or may be, depending on the details) if you get the country moved to decarbonised energy solutions quicker.

    We cannot afford to do things “in good time” given climate change so far. (I am aware that you are in persuaded by this given you think climate change is a giant scam.)
    One can accept that the climate crisis is real and an urgent challenge but also understand the logic that the UK committing economic suicide to purify itself from emissions (whilst importing from fossil fuel guzzling countries) is extraordinarily foolish. Importing LNG produces more tonnes of CO2 than using domestically produced gas. The climate change argument for the current UK arrangements fails on its own terms.
    But you don't even accept that the climate crisis is real.
    Burn the heretic.
    But try to capture the CO2 please.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 19,434

    Axios: Some in [Trump's] inner circle have what one official called "buyer's remorse" —growing fears that attacking Iran was a mistake.


    No shit, Sherlock.

    But Bibi doesn't think so.

    America got bounced. By a President who is bouncier than a bouncy ball.

    If you had sat 10 random PB posters down and asked them for their prognosis of attacking Iran in the way that has happened, they would have come up with a day by day summary of what has come to pass.
    Well, it would depend on the random sample. 1 of them might have said that the US would quickly win due to access to UFO-based supertechnologies.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 26,925

    Axios: Some in [Trump's] inner circle have what one official called "buyer's remorse" —growing fears that attacking Iran was a mistake.


    No shit, Sherlock.

    But Bibi doesn't think so.

    America got bounced. By a President who is bouncier than a bouncy ball.

    If you had sat 10 random PB posters down and asked them for their prognosis of attacking Iran in the way that has happened, they would have come up with a day by day summary of what has come to pass.
    Well, it would depend on the random sample. 1 of them might have said that the US would quickly win due to access to UFO-based supertechnologies.
    Another would have blamed Ed Miliband.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 19,434
    Taz said:

    Struggling to see how anyone cannot agree Ed M is absolutely right about the need to get off fossil fuels and onto nuclear and renewables as soon as possible.

    He is right, Horse, but he is also Ed Milliband and should not be allowed anywhere near 10 Downing Street.
    I'm not sure why this is a struggle for Horse. There is no gain to be made in forcing the public and companies to adopt renewables (especially shit ones) via punitive measures, whilst also importing from countries that pollute big. It rewards polluters by off-shoring our economy to them.

    China has done the opposite - used the cheapest, dirtiest fuels, widened its lead over Western economies (especially the British economy - in the 90s we actually used to manufacture solar panels), and is no using renewables in a considered way where it makes economical sense. Do they face a storm of invectice from us for taking that approach? Nope. Instead UK greenies like ours here coo and gush about the amazing strides they've made in 'emissions increases decelerating' like parents admiring a shit picture by their child.

    We should do the same. Use fossil fules to power our economy, our technological growth, and our transition away from fossile fuels, in good time.
    There is a gain (or may be, depending on the details) if you get the country moved to decarbonised energy solutions quicker.

    We cannot afford to do things “in good time” given climate change so far. (I am aware that you are in persuaded by this given you think climate change is a giant scam.)
    One can accept that the climate crisis is real and an urgent challenge but also understand the logic that the UK committing economic suicide to purify itself from emissions (whilst importing from fossil fuel guzzling countries) is extraordinarily foolish. Importing LNG produces more tonnes of CO2 than using domestically produced gas. The climate change argument for the current UK arrangements fails on its own terms.
    But you don't even accept that the climate crisis is real.
    Burn the heretic.
    Burning heretics does nothing to help rising CO2 levels. Alkaline hydrolysis, however, is an effective method of... disposal with less carbon footprint.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 58,670
    edited 4:02PM

    Axios: Some in [Trump's] inner circle have what one official called "buyer's remorse" —growing fears that attacking Iran was a mistake.


    No shit, Sherlock.

    But Bibi doesn't think so.

    America got bounced. By a President who is bouncier than a bouncy ball.

    If you had sat 10 random PB posters down and asked them for their prognosis of attacking Iran in the way that has happened, they would have come up with a day by day summary of what has come to pass.
    Well, it would depend on the random sample. 1 of them might have said that the US would quickly win due to access to UFO-based supertechnologies.
    Another would have blamed Ed Miliband.
    That still might be the correct call.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 58,670

    Axios: Some in [Trump's] inner circle have what one official called "buyer's remorse" —growing fears that attacking Iran was a mistake.


    No shit, Sherlock.

    But Bibi doesn't think so.

    America got bounced. By a President who is bouncier than a bouncy ball.

    If you had sat 10 random PB posters down and asked them for their prognosis of attacking Iran in the way that has happened, they would have come up with a day by day summary of what has come to pass.
    Well, it would depend on the random sample. 1 of them might have said that the US would quickly win due to access to UFO-based supertechnologies.
    That still might be the correct call. They just can't use it without giving the game away...
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 42,867
    @JenniferJJacobs

    BREAKING news on Trump's chief of staff, Susie Wiles

    https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2033573849153802613?s=20
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 26,925

    Axios: Some in [Trump's] inner circle have what one official called "buyer's remorse" —growing fears that attacking Iran was a mistake.


    No shit, Sherlock.

    But Bibi doesn't think so.

    America got bounced. By a President who is bouncier than a bouncy ball.

    If you had sat 10 random PB posters down and asked them for their prognosis of attacking Iran in the way that has happened, they would have come up with a day by day summary of what has come to pass.
    Well, it would depend on the random sample. 1 of them might have said that the US would quickly win due to access to UFO-based supertechnologies.
    Another would have blamed Ed Miliband.
    That still might be the correct call.
    For some it has been the right call on every issue, ever since it became irrelevant to blame Gordon Brown on every issue instead.
  • A lot of twaddle being talked by non-experts here about what Tice has done and whether it is avoidance or evasion, and what those labels actually mean.

    Evasion requires dishonesty. There's no single offence of tax evasion, there's common law cheating the revenue and then there's lots of statutory offences, but dishonesty is the key, usually some sort of deception about the existence of something or its true nature.

    Avoidance means different things to different people. But if we take it to mean obtaining a tax advantage without dishonesty but in circumstances where parliament did not intend the advantage to be given, then most avoidance these days is doomed to fail, because there are so many anti avoidance rules even before the GAAR might come into play, because most avoidance schemes involve a degree of circularity or some other artificiality, and because the courts are completely unsympathetic.

    Some people use the avoidance label to mean wholly intended tax advantages like using your ISA allowance. Those people need psychological rather than legal help.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 49,459

    Axios: Some in [Trump's] inner circle have what one official called "buyer's remorse" —growing fears that attacking Iran was a mistake.


    No shit, Sherlock.

    But Bibi doesn't think so.

    America got bounced. By a President who is bouncier than a bouncy ball.

    If you had sat 10 random PB posters down and asked them for their prognosis of attacking Iran in the way that has happened, they would have come up with a day by day summary of what has come to pass.
    Trump was played by Netanyahu but I doubt it was difficult.

    "Donald, just think about it. The president who finally whupped Iran."

    Stroking the narcissism. Pushing at an open flaw.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 87,182
    edited 4:06PM
    Sweeney74 said:

    Nigelb said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    Tax avoidance and tax evasion are plainly not the same thing. One is legal use of rules Parliament wrote, the other is breaking them. Pretending they are morally identical is just sloganeering for people who can’t be bothered with detail.

    That said, “legal” is not the same as “defensible”, especially for politicians who like to wrap themselves in flag, family and ordinary taxpayer cosplay while using structures most ordinary taxpayers will never see in their lives.

    So the right test is fairly simple:
    if Tice acted lawfully, then it isn’t evasion;
    if the structure was artificial and didn’t meet the rules, HMRC should flatten him;
    and if he wants to preach about how everyone should minimise tax, he can also explain which services he’d cut for the voters he claims to represent.
    There isn't a bright line between the two things (which is why General Anti-Abuse Rules were introduced a decade ago.)
    Yes, quite.

    The line between avoidance and evasion may not always be bright, especially once you get into artificial arrangements and the territory GAAR was designed to police.

    But that is really the point, not a defence.

    A politician should be steering miles clear of murky grey areas, not tiptoeing up to the boundary and then acting offended when people question it. “Not proven illegal” is a pretty feeble standard for someone asking voters to trust his judgment.
    I agree.
    Any politician claiming "patriotism", and indulging in schemes like that, deserves ridicule. At the very least.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 22,559
    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    HYUFD said:

    OT - There are few Lab politicians markedly LESS able at communication than Ed - but Yvette Cooper is certainly one of them.

    I'd be worried for the Lab Party's sanity but the story is in the Mail so its probably been planted by No 10 (assuming its not just made up whole cloth). So that's one issue sorted of the thousands upon which to question the Lab Party's sanity

    Yes, Cooper is basically a UK Julia Gillard or Hillary Clinton or another Theresa May
    Yvette Cooper may well be better than Starmer in the narrow sense of seeming more competent, more grounded and less eerily focus-grouped. But that is still a very low bar.

    As an answer to Labour’s current malaise, she feels like thin gruel: more administrative than inspirational, more capable than compelling. A tidier manager of decline is still managing decline.

    If Labour’s problem is lack of clarity, energy and purpose, replacing Starmer with Cooper feels less like renewal and more like changing accountants halfway through an audit.
    Yours is a very good comment.
    FWIW, my view is that only Rayner or Burnham has a hope of turn around a polling deficit against Farage in a six week GE campaign. It will need campaigning and comms of extraordinary levels. The rest are too leaden to be honest on that front. Starmer certainly wont be able to do it.

    But Cooper would be a far better PM as far as day-to-day running of a government goes. Although one reads of whispers that she is seen as indecisive - so who knows.
    Burnham will wreck the country. Rayner and Cooper are more responsible enough (a newish thing for the former).

    The perfect Labour leader is one that can run the country whilst making it blindingly obvious that the Tories need to come back.

    (Kemi is doing ok, but laying the groundwork for a Tory resurgence needs far more.)
    I heard yesterday that Greater Manchester is the fastest growing area in the UK.

    So maybe we all misjudged him?
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 16,613
    Was giving some further thought to the locals and likely NEV
    Last year was
    Ref 30-32
    Lab 19-20
    LD 16-17
    Con 15-18
    Green 11

    I can't see Reform 10 plus points clear this year, so I'm cery dubious as yosome of the 'sweeps' it all county predictions

    They got, for example, about 17% East of England in 2024 on a national 14.5%
    If they hit mud twenties NEV then maybe, what, high 20s in Norfolk, Suffolk, Essex? Probably not enough for majority control.....
    DYOR etc
  • Brixian59Brixian59 Posts: 1,478

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    One assumes you don't have an ISA then.
    No never had one, never will have one.

    Some of us have ethics
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 126,875

    NEW THREAD

  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 2,516

    Taz said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    But the accusation Neidle has made, AIUI, is that Tice is evading not avoiding.
    Highly aggressive tax planning actually and the journalist who wrote the article, which Neidle assisted on, stated it was Avoidance.

    https://x.com/gabriel_pogrund/status/2032951446593786219?s=61
    I stand (well, sit with a cat on my lap) corrected.

    Neidle appears to be phrasing his words to say the most accusatory thing he can without actually quite saying evading. Presumably out of concern of litigation.
    It would come under GAAR, so a scheme that HMRC hadn't anticipated, which is termed "abusive, contrived, or abnormal tax avoidance arrangements" rather than using unpleasant terms such as evasion. Which is where HMRC's terminology contributes to the confusion between intended tax avoidance schemes (ISAs, pensions, EVs, cycle to work, season ticket loans etc) and unintended avoidance schemes such as setting up an REIT and offshore vehicles.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,662

    A lot of twaddle being talked by non-experts here about what Tice has done and whether it is avoidance or evasion, and what those labels actually mean.

    Evasion requires dishonesty. There's no single offence of tax evasion, there's common law cheating the revenue and then there's lots of statutory offences, but dishonesty is the key, usually some sort of deception about the existence of something or its true nature.

    Avoidance means different things to different people. But if we take it to mean obtaining a tax advantage without dishonesty but in circumstances where parliament did not intend the advantage to be given, then most avoidance these days is doomed to fail, because there are so many anti avoidance rules even before the GAAR might come into play, because most avoidance schemes involve a degree of circularity or some other artificiality, and because the courts are completely unsympathetic.

    Some people use the avoidance label to mean wholly intended tax advantages like using your ISA allowance. Those people need psychological rather than legal help.

    https://www.thenational.scot/news/25937872.richard-tice-avoided-600-000-tax-exploiting-loophole/ has a good summary of Tice's tax situation.
  • Brixian59Brixian59 Posts: 1,478

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    I'm fully aware of the difference.

    May be we should brand the criminals with an A on their forehead

    The Evaders an E on their wrist

    A would be denied any public service when released from prison

    E would have to pay a surcharge for public services


  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 34,401

    Struggling to see how anyone cannot agree Ed M is absolutely right about the need to get off fossil fuels and onto nuclear and renewables as soon as possible.

    He is right, Horse, but he is also Ed Milliband and should not be allowed anywhere near 10 Downing Street.
    I'm not sure why this is a struggle for Horse. There is no gain to be made in forcing the public and companies to adopt renewables (especially shit ones) via punitive measures, whilst also importing from countries that pollute big. It rewards polluters by off-shoring our economy to them.

    China has done the opposite - used the cheapest, dirtiest fuels, widened its lead over Western economies (especially the British economy - in the 90s we actually used to manufacture solar panels), and is no using renewables in a considered way where it makes economical sense. Do they face a storm of invectice from us for taking that approach? Nope. Instead UK greenies like ours here coo and gush about the amazing strides they've made in 'emissions increases decelerating' like parents admiring a shit picture by their child.

    We should do the same. Use fossil fules to power our economy, our technological growth, and our transition away from fossile fuels, in good time.
    There is a gain (or may be, depending on the details) if you get the country moved to decarbonised energy solutions quicker.

    We cannot afford to do things “in good time” given climate change so far. (I am aware that you are in persuaded by this given you think climate change is a giant scam.)
    One can accept that the climate crisis is real and an urgent challenge but also understand the logic that the UK committing economic suicide to purify itself from emissions (whilst importing from fossil fuel guzzling countries) is extraordinarily foolish. Importing LNG produces more tonnes of CO2 than using domestically produced gas. The climate change argument for the current UK arrangements fails on its own terms.
    But you don't even accept that the climate crisis is real.
    Are you trying to win the argument, or trying to put your opponents in a beyond the pale non-person box so you don't have to defend your views?
  • TazTaz Posts: 25,998

    Taz said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    But the accusation Neidle has made, AIUI, is that Tice is evading not avoiding.
    Highly aggressive tax planning actually and the journalist who wrote the article, which Neidle assisted on, stated it was Avoidance.

    https://x.com/gabriel_pogrund/status/2032951446593786219?s=61
    I stand (well, sit with a cat on my lap) corrected.

    Neidle appears to be phrasing his words to say the most accusatory thing he can without actually quite saying evading. Presumably out of concern of litigation.
    Possibly. He’s a smart guy Dan and I suspect he’s also aware that as a Labour supporter and donor, he gave £2500 to my MPs campaign funds for one, he’s at risk of being accused of being impartial

    Personally I’d trust his judgement and think he’s just switched on.
  • AugustusCarp2AugustusCarp2 Posts: 624
    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.

    Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.

    Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services

    That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.

    That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.

    I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.

    Tax avoidance is legal.
    Tax evasion is a crime.

    Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.

    If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.

    If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.

    Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
    But the accusation Neidle has made, AIUI, is that Tice is evading not avoiding.
    Highly aggressive tax planning actually and the journalist who wrote the article, which Neidle assisted on, stated it was Avoidance.

    https://x.com/gabriel_pogrund/status/2032951446593786219?s=61
    I stand (well, sit with a cat on my lap) corrected.

    Neidle appears to be phrasing his words to say the most accusatory thing he can without actually quite saying evading. Presumably out of concern of litigation.
    Possibly. He’s a smart guy Dan and I suspect he’s also aware that as a Labour supporter and donor, he gave £2500 to my MPs campaign funds for one, he’s at risk of being accused of being impartial

    Personally I’d trust his judgement and think he’s just switched on.
    FYI, Neidle is a former partner in one of the Magic Circle law firms - Linklaters, I think. So he's probably as clued up on libel, slander and defamation as any journalist.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 87,182
    Is Netanyahu playing games, or might he actually be dead* ?

    At this point he's released 3 'proof of life' videos.

    First one: AI (6 fingers).
    Second: AI (coffee physics).
    Third: AI (???).

    We've reached peak digital paranoia where world leaders literally cannot prove they exist.

    https://x.com/heyshrutimishra/status/2033581457852027139

    *I'm ruling out "both", for now.
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